How often does Ensign move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ENSGNasdaqServices-Skilled Nursing Care Facilities

Ensign Group, Inc (ENSG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

181.47

pre 184.15 −1.16%

Pre-market16:59 ETdelayed

Open188.08Volume411,633Mkt cap$10.6BP/E26.69EPS6.90Div yield0.14%

Day181.47 – 188.8037%52-wk141.47 – 217.7656%

ENSG

Ensign Group, Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 3

after close · in 93 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+8.62%

vs ±6.7% implied · ×1.29

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 27 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dCTRE · supplierCareTrust REIT secures $2.0 billion revolver, $700.0 million new term and $500.0 million term

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−0.44%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

552 managers

Top fund weight

0.25%

ENSG weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Ensign (ENSG) is expected to report on Feb 3 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.3%
avg realized: ±5.7%

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±4.8%▼−8.70%×1.83

Apr 29 '25Apr 29 '25confirmed±5.4%▲+0.68%×0.13

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±6.6%▲+8.92%×1.36

Nov 3 '25Nov 3 '25confirmed±5.9%▲+0.05%×0.01

Feb 4 '26Feb 4 '26confirmed±5.9%▲+13.85%×2.36

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±6.4%▼−1.59%×0.25

Q2 FY26Jul 27 '26confirmed±8.8%▲+2.94%×0.33

Q3 FY26Oct 27 '26confirmed±6.7%▲+8.62%×1.29

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±6.7%▲+8.62%×1.29

Q2 FY26±8.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.62OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

86+1%Nov 2018d0.127320%0.12

250+2%Dec 1846d0.122,1580%0.12

report · Feb 3 · after close · est.

3300%Mar 19137d5350%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2018d86+1%7320%0.12

Dec 1846d250+2%2,1580%0.12

report · Feb 3 · after close · est.

Mar 19137d3300%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

7.03%as filednet margin · revenue +3.02% QoQ · +14.47% YoY

Revenue

$1.5B+3.02% QoQ

Gross profit

$317M+3.58% QoQ

21.37% margin

Operating income

$138M+12.64% QoQ

9.30% margin

Pre-tax income

$140M+4.88% QoQ

Net income

$104M+4.56% QoQ

7.03% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.2B+2.87% QoQ

Operating expenses

$179M−2.46% QoQ

SG&A $80M

Other operating $67M

Depreciation $33M

Tax

$36M+5.83% QoQ

Other income

$2M−80.22% QoQ

Revenue$1.5B+3.02%

Gross profit

$317M+3.58%

21.37% margin

Operating income

$138M+12.64%

9.30% margin

Pre-tax income

$140M+4.88%

Net income

$104M+4.56%

7.03% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.2B+2.87%

Operating expenses

$179M−2.46%

SG&A $80M

Other operating $67M

Depreciation $33M

Other income$2M−80.22%

Tax$36M+5.83%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.44· ±1.6% vs ±1.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.6%5 of 10×1.44

FOMCrate decision±1.4%10 of 24×1.26

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%6 of 10×1.03

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%10 of 19×0.94

PPIproducer prices±1.1%6 of 10×0.93

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%10 of 19×0.75

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.71

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.76 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 27 '26 · confirmed	1.76	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 27 '26 · confirmed	1.68	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	1.67	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod