How often does Ecolab move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ECLNYSESoap, Detergents, Cleang Preparations, Perfumes, Cosmetics

Ecolab Inc. (ECL) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

301.72

Closed16:00 ET

Open303.22Volume1.7MMkt cap$85.0BP/E40.72EPS7.41Div yield0.96%

Day301.66 – 305.002%52-wk241.85 – 306.7992%

ECL

Ecolab Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 9

before open · in 101 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.82%

vs ±5.4% implied · ×0.15

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 27 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.93%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

1,710 managers

Top fund weight

4.73%

ECL weight · XLB

N-PORTJun 30 '26

12 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Ecolab (ECL) is expected to report on Feb 9 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.4%
avg realized: ±2.4%

Jul 29 '25Jul 29 '25confirmed±4.0%▼−3.93%×0.99

Q3 FY25Oct 28 '25confirmed±4.8%▼−4.09%×0.85

Feb 10 '26Feb 10 '26confirmed±4.0%▲+3.98%×0.99

Mar 20 '26Mar 20 '26confirmed±1.6%▼−0.86%×0.52

Q1 FY26Mar 27 '26confirmed±4.6%▼−1.09%×0.24

Apr 28 '26Apr 28 '26confirmed±5.2%▼−0.34%×0.07

Q2 FY26Jul 28 '26confirmed±5.6%▲+4.24%×0.76

Q3 FY26Oct 27 '26confirmed±5.4%▲+0.82%×0.15

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±5.4%▲+0.82%×0.15

Q2 FY26±5.6%▲+4.24%×0.76

Apr '26±5.2%▼−0.34%×0.07

Q1 FY26±4.6%▼−1.09%×0.24

Mar '26±1.6%▼−0.86%×0.52

Feb '26±4.0%▲+3.98%×0.99

2 older reports

Q3 FY25±4.8%▼−4.09%×0.85

Jul '25±4.0%▼−3.93%×0.99

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.56OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,301+20%Nov 2020d0.474,931+7%0.47

1,005+7%Dec 1848d0.293,512+13%0.29

525+10%Jan 1576d0.232,2370%0.23

report · Feb 9 · before open · est.

225+7%Apr 16167d403+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d2,301+20%4,931+7%0.47

Dec 1848d1,005+7%3,512+13%0.29

Jan 1576d525+10%2,2370%0.23

report · Feb 9 · before open · est.

Apr 16167d225+7%403+1%0.56

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

11.81%as filednet margin · revenue +6.33% QoQ · +12.72% YoY

Revenue

$4.7B+6.33% QoQ

Gross profit

$2.1B+6.34% QoQ

44.08% margin

Operating income

$811M+6.94% QoQ

17.26% margin

Pre-tax income

$695M+0.13% QoQ

Net income

$554M+2.91% QoQ

11.81% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.6B+6.32% QoQ

Operating expenses

$1.3B+5.96% QoQ

SG&A $1.2B

Other operating $81M

Other expense

$116M

Tax

$140M−9.55% QoQ

Revenue$4.7B+6.33%

Gross profit

$2.1B+6.34%

44.08% margin

Operating income

$811M+6.94%

17.26% margin

Pre-tax income

$695M+0.13%

Net income

$554M+2.91%

11.81% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.6B+6.32%

Operating expenses

$1.3B+5.96%

SG&A $1.2B

Other operating $81M

Other expense

$116M

Tax$140M−9.55%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.45· ±1.3% vs ±0.9% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.3%11 of 24×1.45

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%5 of 10×1.24

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%10 of 19×1.19

PPIproducer prices±1.1%4 of 10×1.19

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%12 of 19×1.08

NFPjobs report±0.9%6 of 10×0.97

CPROFcorporate profits±0.7%6 of 12×0.79

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±0.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±0.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.95 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 27 '26 · confirmed	1.95	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 28 '26 · confirmed	1.90	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 27 '26 · confirmed	1.52	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 28 '25 · confirmed	2.05	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod