How often does Brinker International move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

EATNYSERetail-Eating Places

Brinker International, Inc (EAT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

209.98

−9.92 · −4.51%

post 213.00 +1.44%

Closed16:56 ET

Open219.90Volume1.2MMkt cap$8.8BP/E18.33EPS11.62

Day209.91 – 219.9031%52-wk100.30 – 254.9973%

EAT

Brinker International, Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 27

before open · in 87 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+12.21%

vs ±11.0% implied · ×1.11

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

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1dDASH · supplierDoorDash net income $466 million, revenue $4,616 million in quarter ended Sept. 30, 2026

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−0.81%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

509 managers

Top fund weight

0.23%

EAT weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Brinker International (EAT) is expected to report on Jan 27 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.3%
avg realized: ±9.6%

Jan 29 '25Jan 29 '25confirmed±9.5%▲+16.29%×1.71

Apr 29 '25Apr 29 '25confirmed±11.1%▼−14.80%×1.33

Aug 13 '25Aug 13 '25confirmed±9.2%▲+1.61%×0.17

Oct 29 '25Oct 29 '25confirmed±10.7%▼−7.47%×0.70

Q2 FY26Jan 28 '26confirmed±10.4%▼−0.41%×0.04

Q3 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±10.2%▲+14.45%×1.41

Aug 12 '26Aug 12 '26confirmed—▲+11.07%—

Q1 FY27Oct 28 '26confirmed±11.0%▲+12.21%×1.11

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q1 FY27±11.0%▲+12.21%×1.11

Aug '26—▲+11.07%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.98OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,106+41%Nov 2019d0.524,078+114%0.52

1,565+8%Dec 1847d0.941,671+1%0.94

8,447+1%Jan 1575d4.641,822+2%4.64

report · Jan 27 · before open · est.

890%Apr 16166d910%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d2,106+41%4,078+114%0.52

Dec 1847d1,565+8%1,671+1%0.94

Jan 1575d8,447+1%1,822+2%4.64

report · Jan 27 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

7.68%as filednet margin · revenue −3.92% QoQ · +9.37% YoY

Revenue

$1.5B−3.92% QoQ

Gross profit

$272M−5.42% QoQ

18.46% margin

Operating income

$151M−9.58% QoQ

10.23% margin

Pre-tax income

$127M−19.87% QoQ

Net income

$113M−13.58% QoQ

7.68% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.2B−3.57% QoQ

Operating expenses

$121M+0.33% QoQ

SG&A $63M

Depreciation $56M

Other operating $2M

Other expense

$24M

Tax

$14M−50.00% QoQ

Revenue$1.5B−3.92%

Gross profit

$272M−5.42%

18.46% margin

Operating income

$151M−9.58%

10.23% margin

Pre-tax income

$127M−19.87%

Net income

$113M−13.58%

7.68% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.2B−3.57%

Operating expenses

$121M+0.33%

SG&A $63M

Depreciation $56M

Other operating $2M

Other expense

$24M

Tax$14M−50.00%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 23 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.76· ±3.9% vs ±2.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.9%15 of 24×1.76

PPIproducer prices±3.1%2 of 10×1.40

CPIconsumer prices±2.8%4 of 10×1.28

NFPjobs report±2.4%7 of 10×1.07

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.4%8 of 19×1.07

GDPgross domestic product±2.2%10 of 19×1.00

CPROFcorporate profits±1.7%6 of 12×0.78

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.64 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	2.64	—
Q4 FY26	—	2.97	—
Q3 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	2.87	—
Q2 FY26	Jan 28 '26 · confirmed	2.86	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod