How often does Electronic Arts move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

EANasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

209.90

Closed19:59 ET

Open209.90Volume48.7MMkt cap$52.9BP/E48.48EPS4.33Div yield0.36%

Day209.83 – 209.9464%52-wk158.48 – 210.2099%

Electronic Arts Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 3

after close · in 2 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.39%

vs ±1.3% implied · ×0.31

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

May 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

39.00%

of EA revenue · Sony

customerEA 10-K

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.60%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

981 managers

Top fund weight

4.63%

EA weight · XLC

N-PORTJun 30 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Electronic Arts (EA) is expected to report on Nov 3 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±3.0%
avg realized: ±2.7%

Jul 30 '24Jul 30 '24confirmed—▲+1.22%—

Oct 29 '24Oct 29 '24confirmed±4.0%▲+2.42%×0.60

Feb 4 '25Feb 4 '25confirmed±4.7%▲+7.60%×1.61

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+0.62%×0.10

Jul 29 '25Jul 29 '25confirmed±3.7%▲+5.73%×1.54

Q2 FY26Oct 28 '25confirmed±0.5%▼−0.05%×0.10

Q3 FY26Feb 3 '26confirmed±0.7%▼−2.26%×3.26

Q4 FY26May 5 '26confirmed±1.3%▼−0.39%×0.31

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q4 FY26±1.3%▼−0.39%×0.31

Q3 FY26±0.7%▼−2.26%×3.26

Q2 FY26±0.5%▼−0.05%×0.10

Jul '25±3.7%▲+5.73%×1.54

May '25±6.0%▲+0.62%×0.10

Feb '25±4.7%▲+7.60%×1.61

2 older reports

Oct '24±4.0%▲+2.42%×0.60

Jul '24—▲+1.22%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Aug 11 close

0.19OI · 3 expiries · Aug 11 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,2020%Dec 1847d11,6770%

5,2070%Jan 1575d0.4411,7840%0.44

48—Feb 19110d0.6970—0.69

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1847d2,2020%11,6770%0.19

Jan 1575d5,2070%11,7840%0.44

Feb 19110d48—70—0.69

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

19.99%as filednet margin · revenue −6.32% QoQ · +18.85% YoY

Revenue

$2.0B−6.32% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.7B−2.51% QoQ

86.20% margin

Operating income

$513M−9.04% QoQ

25.83% margin

Pre-tax income

$530M−8.46% QoQ

Net income

$397M−13.88% QoQ

19.99% margin

Cost of revenue

$274M−24.73% QoQ

Operating expenses

$1.2B+0.59% QoQ

R&D $743M

Marketing $263M

SG&A $181M

Other operating $12M

Tax

$133M+12.71% QoQ

Other income

$17M+13.33% QoQ

Revenue$2.0B−6.32%

Gross profit

$1.7B−2.51%

86.20% margin

Operating income

$513M−9.04%

25.83% margin

Pre-tax income

$530M−8.46%

Net income

$397M−13.88%

19.99% margin

Cost of revenue

$274M−24.73%

Operating expenses

$1.2B+0.59%

R&D $743M

Marketing $263M

SG&A $181M

Other income$17M+13.33%

Tax$133M+12.71%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×1.96· ±1.5% vs ±0.8% · 17 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%12 of 17×1.96

FOMCrate decision±0.9%14 of 23×1.11

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%11 of 17×1.07

CPROFcorporate profits±0.6%6 of 10×0.77

NFPjobs report±0.3%0 of 7×0.39

CPIconsumer prices±0.1%6 of 8×0.18

PPIproducer prices±0.1%3 of 8×0.17

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±0.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±0.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.56 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	—	1.56	—
Q4 FY26	May 5 '26 · confirmed	1.83	—
Q3 FY26	Feb 3 '26 · confirmed	0.35	—
Q2 FY26	Oct 28 '25 · confirmed	0.54	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod