How often does DexCom move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DXCMNasdaqSurgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus

DexCom Inc (DXCM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

82.33

pre 82.46 +0.21%

Pre-market09:00 ET

Open81.96Volume8.6MMkt cap$30.7BP/E31.96EPS2.58

Day81.94 – 84.7918%52-wk54.11 – 92.5974%

DXCM

DexCom Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

after close · in 101 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.95%

vs ±6.7% implied · ×0.44

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

10dPODD · supplierPodium Surpasses $150M in AI Agent ARR in 2.5 Years

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.74%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

973 managers

Top fund weight

0.48%

DXCM weight · FTC

N-PORTJul 31 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

DexCom (DXCM) is expected to report on Feb 11 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.7%
avg realized: ±8.9%

Feb 13 '25Feb 13 '25confirmed±7.8%▲+5.92%×0.76

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±9.4%▲+16.17%×1.72

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±8.4%▼−9.31%×1.11

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±12.6%▼−14.63%×1.16

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed±9.3%▲+7.59%×0.81

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±8.9%▲+3.02%×0.34

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±6.2%▲+11.95%×1.92

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±6.7%▲+2.95%×0.44

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±6.7%▲+2.95%×0.44

Q2 FY26±6.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 28 close

1.54OI · 7 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4 nearer expiries

491+18%Nov 64d0.371,320+126%0.37

1860%Nov 1311d1.06176+5%1.06

3,416+142%Nov 2018d1.063,221+1%1.06

250%Nov 2725d0.7135−5%0.71

6,6520%Dec 1846d0.709,4550%0.70

16,7320%Jan 1574d0.9717,2370%0.97

report · Feb 11 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

4 nearer expiries

Nov 64d491+18%1,320+126%0.37

Nov 1311d1860%176+5%1.06

Nov 2018d3,416+142%3,221

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

20.46%as filednet margin · revenue +2.76% QoQ · +11.18% YoY

Revenue

$1.3B+2.76% QoQ

Gross profit

$864M+4.14% QoQ

64.29% margin

Operating income

$327M+2.80% QoQ

24.34% margin

Pre-tax income

$335M+5.42% QoQ

Net income

$275M+10.44% QoQ

20.46% margin

Cost of revenue

$480M+0.36% QoQ

Operating expenses

$537M+4.98% QoQ

SG&A $376M

R&D $162M

Tax

$60M−12.87% QoQ

Other income

$8M+1037.50% QoQ

Revenue$1.3B+2.76%

Gross profit

$864M+4.14%

64.29% margin

Operating income

$327M+2.80%

24.34% margin

Pre-tax income

$335M+5.42%

Net income

$275M+10.44%

20.46% margin

Cost of revenue

$480M+0.36%

Operating expenses

$537M+4.98%

SG&A $376M

R&D $162M

Other income$8M+1037.50%

Tax$60M−12.87%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.48· ±2.6% vs ±1.8% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±2.6%4 of 11×1.48

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%11 of 20×0.98

PPIproducer prices±1.6%5 of 11×0.89

NFPjobs report±1.6%4 of 10×0.88

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%9 of 20×0.87

CPROFcorporate profits±1.5%4 of 12×0.85

FOMCrate decision±1.4%12 of 24×0.80

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.72 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	0.72	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	0.64	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	0.51	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod