How often does Douglas Elliman move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DOUGNYSEReal Estate Agents & Managers (For Others)

Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.66

Pre-market16:00 ETdelayed

Open1.67Volume388,205Mkt cap$143.6MP/E2.80

Day1.65 – 1.726%52-wk1.38 – 3.0317%

DOUG

Douglas Elliman Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

before open · in 4 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.56%

vs ±42.0% implied · ×0.01

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 7 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.91%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

129 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

DOUG weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Douglas Elliman (DOUG) is expected to report on Nov 9 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±27.7%
avg realized: ±9.9%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±13.4%▲+4.15%×0.31

Mar 11 '25Mar 11 '25confirmed±46.9%▲+3.05%×0.06

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±45.6%▲+8.93%×0.20

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed±13.9%▼−22.91%×1.65

Q3 FY25Nov 4 '25confirmed±22.8%▼−2.03%×0.09

Q1 FY26Mar 13 '26confirmed±15.1%▼−26.72%×1.77

May 8 '26May 8 '26confirmed±21.5%▼−11.00%×0.51

Q2 FY26Aug 7 '26confirmed±42.0%▼−0.56%×0.01

quarterimplied−50%0+50%realized×

Q2 FY26±42.0%▼−0.56%×0.01

May '26±21.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Nov 3 close

0.18OI · 1 expiry · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1190%Jan 1571d6530%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1571d1190%6530%0.18

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−0.96%as filednet margin · revenue +4.45% YoY

Revenue$283M—

Gross profit$41M14.61%—

Operating income−$3M−1.21%+90.22%

Pre-tax income−$3M+91.60%

Net income−$3M−0.96%+91.60%

Cost of revenue$242M—

Operating expenses$45M−47.83%

Tax$0—

Other income$691,000−72.90%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.08· ±3.6% vs ±3.3% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±3.6%5 of 19×1.08

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.6%5 of 19×1.07

FOMCrate decision±3.2%9 of 24×0.97

NFPjobs report±2.6%5 of 10×0.79

CPIconsumer prices±2.1%6 of 10×0.64

CPROFcorporate profits±2.1%2 of 12×0.62

PPIproducer prices±1.8%2 of 10×0.53

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.03 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 7 '26 · confirmed	-0.03	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 13 '26 · confirmed	-0.19	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 4 '25 · confirmed	-0.29	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod