How often does Dream Finders Homes move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DFHNYSEOperative Builders

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

11.66

+1.56 · +15.41%

Regular session11:00 ET

Open10.56Volume1.7MMkt cap$993.4MP/E6.77

Day10.28 – 11.66100%52-wk7.30 – 21.5531%

DFH

Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 22

before open · in 110 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+3.29%

vs ±16.6% implied · ×0.20

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−6.63%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

204 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

DFH weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Dream Finders Homes (DFH) is expected to report on Feb 22 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.2%
avg realized: ±6.9%

Feb 25 '25Feb 25 '25confirmed±11.6%▲+17.90%×1.55

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±9.8%▼−3.62%×0.37

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed±9.6%▼−4.05%×0.42

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±12.5%▼−7.54%×0.60

Feb 23 '26Feb 23 '26confirmed±10.7%▼−2.24%×0.21

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±17.4%▲+3.18%×0.18

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±17.8%▼−13.49%×0.76

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±16.6%▲+3.29%×0.20

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±16.6%▲+3.29%×0.20

Q2 FY26±17.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

1.23OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

148+33%Nov 2016d0.052,973+2%0.05

2240%Dec 1844d5.60400%5.60

454−2%Jan 1572d0.192,4020%0.19

report · Feb 22 · before open · est.

6540%Apr 16163d5310%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d148+33%2,973+2%0.05

Dec 1844d2240%400%5.60

Jan 1572d454−2%2,4020%0.19

report · Feb 22 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

0.72%as filednet margin · revenue −6.34% QoQ · +2.71% YoY

Revenue

$996M−6.34% QoQ

Gross profit

$147M−4.54% QoQ

14.80% margin

Operating income

$12M−68.02% QoQ

1.18% margin

Pre-tax income

$13M−64.29% QoQ

Net income

$7M−74.33% QoQ

0.72% margin

Cost of revenue

$849M−6.64% QoQ

Operating expenses

$136M+15.32% QoQ

Tax

$6M−33.25% QoQ

Other income

$1M+3130.23% QoQ

Revenue$996M−6.34%

Gross profit

$147M−4.54%

14.80% margin

Operating income

$12M−68.02%

1.18% margin

Pre-tax income

$13M−64.29%

Net income

$7M−74.33%

0.72% margin

Cost of revenue

$849M−6.64%

Operating expenses

$136M+15.32%

Other income$1M+3130.23%

Tax$6M−33.25%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 11:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.29· ±3.4% vs ±2.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.4%4 of 10×1.29

NFPjobs report±3.4%4 of 10×1.27

FOMCrate decision±3.4%11 of 24×1.26

CPIconsumer prices±3.1%5 of 10×1.17

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.8%8 of 19×1.04

GDPgross domestic product±2.6%7 of 19×0.98

CPROFcorporate profits±1.6%5 of 12×0.61

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.00 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	0.00	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	0.27	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	0.11	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod