How often does Deckers Outdoor move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DECKNYSERubber & Plastics Footwear

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

89.17

+5.08 · +6.05%

post 89.16 −0.01%

Closed19:46 ET

Open84.74Volume3.6MMkt cap$11.9BP/E11.36EPS7.85

Day84.74 – 90.3579%52-wk77.20 – 122.2927%

DECK

Deckers Outdoor Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 28

after close · in 85 days

est.Q3 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.91%

vs ±8.0% implied · ×0.61

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−3.92%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

869 managers

Top fund weight

0.35%

DECK weight · XLY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

9 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Deckers Outdoor (DECK) is expected to report on Jan 28 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.2%
avg realized: ±11.9%

Jan 30 '25Jan 30 '25confirmed±6.8%▼−20.51%×2.99

May 22 '25May 22 '25confirmed±12.2%▼−19.86%×1.63

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±9.9%▲+11.35%×1.15

Oct 23 '25Oct 23 '25confirmed±10.0%▼−15.21%×1.52

Q3 FY26Jan 29 '26confirmed±9.5%▲+19.46%×2.04

May 21 '26May 21 '26confirmed±9.6%▲+3.95%×0.41

Q1 FY27Jul 23 '26confirmed±7.8%▼−0.20%×0.03

Q2 FY27Oct 22 '26confirmed±8.0%▼−4.91%×0.61

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY27±8.0%▼−4.91%×0.61

Q1 FY27±7.8%▼−0.20%×0.03

May '26±9.6%▲+3.95%×0.41

Q3 FY26±9.5%▲+19.46%×2.04

Oct '25±10.0%▼−15.21%×1.52

Jul '25±9.9%▲+11.35%×1.15

2 older reports

May '25±12.2%▼−19.86%×1.63

Jan '25±6.8%▼−20.51%×2.99

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Nov 4 close

1.14OI · 8 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5 nearer expiries

1,362+1%Nov 62d0.672,038+1%0.67

1,177+2%Nov 139d1.67705+4%1.67

4,482+1%Nov 2016d1.064,2230%1.06

430+3%Nov 2723d0.162,7020%0.16

154+9%Dec 430d0.73210+1%0.73

5,9830%Dec 1844d1.085,528+1%1.08

7,289+1%Jan 1572d0.5313,6820%0.53

report · Jan 28 · after close · est.

2,5620%Mar 19135d2,2560%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

5 nearer expiries

Nov 62d1,362+1%2,038+1%0.67

Nov 139d1,177+2%705+4%1.67

Nov 2016d4,482+1%4,2230%1.06

Nov 2723d430+3%2,7020%0.16

Dec 430d154+9%210+1%0.73

Dec 1844d5,9830%5,528+1%1.08

Jan 1572d7,289+1%13,6820%0.53

report · Jan 28 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d2,5620%2,2560%1.14

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY27

21.15%as filednet margin · revenue +45.22% QoQ · +3.47% YoY

Revenue

$1.5B+45.22% QoQ

Gross profit

$895M+55.63% QoQ

60.46% margin

Operating income

$389M+150.77% QoQ

26.30% margin

Pre-tax income

$403M+138.66% QoQ

Net income

$313M+140.92% QoQ

21.15% margin

Cost of revenue

$585M+31.75% QoQ

Operating expenses

$506M+20.43% QoQ

Tax

$90M+131.12% QoQ

Other income

$14M+1.79% QoQ

Revenue$1.5B+45.22%

Gross profit

$895M+55.63%

60.46% margin

Operating income

$389M+150.77%

26.30% margin

Pre-tax income

$403M+138.66%

Net income

$313M+140.92%

21.15% margin

Cost of revenue

$585M+31.75%

Operating expenses

$506M+20.43%

Other income$14M+1.79%

Tax$90M+131.12%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.48· ±2.9% vs ±1.9% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.9%3 of 10×1.48

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.6%9 of 19×1.34

FOMCrate decision±1.8%10 of 24×0.96

NFPjobs report±1.7%3 of 10×0.86

CPROFcorporate profits±1.7%6 of 12×0.86

GDPgross domestic product±1.6%9 of 19×0.83

CPIconsumer prices±1.5%1 of 10×0.77

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.31 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY27	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	2.31	—
Q1 FY27	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	0.94	—
Q4 FY26	—	0.93	—
Q3 FY26	Jan 29 '26 · confirmed	3.33	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod