CSTM as of Nov 2 · 11:55 ET

CSTMNYSESecondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals

Constellium SE · Brief

Next report

107 days

Feb 17 · before openest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±18.7%implied · straddle

18.8027.42

spot 23.11exp Feb 19ATM strike 23ATM straddle 5.08IV 50%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.8%
avg realized: ±6.1%

Feb 20 '25±10.3%▲+14.22%×1.38

Apr 30 '25±16.0%▲+5.42%×0.34

Jul 29 '25±10.5%▲+5.38%×0.51

Oct 29 '25±10.2%▼−3.78%×0.37

Feb 18 '26±8.5%▲+9.53%×1.13

Q1 FY26±11.1%▲+3.70%×0.33

Q2 FY26—▼−4.99%—

Q3 FY26±9.2%▼−0.53%×0.06

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±9.2%▼−0.53%×0.06

Q2 FY26—▼−4.99%—

Q1 FY26±11.1%▲+3.70%×0.33

Feb '26±8.5%▲+9.53%×1.13

Oct '25±10.2%▼−3.78%×0.37

Jul '25±10.5%▲+5.38%×0.51

2 older reports

Apr '25±16.0%▲+5.42%×0.34

Feb '25±10.3%▲+14.22%×1.38

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Feb 17 report · est.

Bull2

5 of 7recent reports where move came in under options implied rangeEarnings history

385managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 3

3tracked funds holding the companyN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

12 of 25largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Nov 2 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

CSTM report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 14impliedImplied move: ±11.5% into Oct 28 earnings (Oct 14 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.