How often does Comstock Resources move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CRKNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Comstock Resources Inc (CRK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

13.33

−0.05 · −0.40%

post 13.44 +0.85%

Closed19:21 ET

Open13.39Volume4.2MMkt cap$3.9BP/E7.51EPS1.79

Day13.21 – 13.8536%52-wk12.12 – 28.108%

CRK

Comstock Resources Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 10

after close · in 97 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

after close

confirmedNov 4 close

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

18.00%

of CRK revenue · Enterprise Products Operating

customerCRK 10-K

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.85%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

316 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

CRK weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Comstock Resources (CRK) is expected to report on Feb 10 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.2%
avg realized: ±7.3%

Oct 30 '24Oct 30 '24confirmed±8.3%▼−7.00%×0.84

Feb 18 '25Feb 18 '25confirmed±5.9%▲+9.87%×1.66

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±10.6%▲+3.28%×0.31

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±9.4%▼−14.05%×1.50

Nov 3 '25Nov 3 '25confirmed±10.3%▲+4.26%×0.42

Feb 11 '26Feb 11 '26confirmed±7.7%▼−6.07%×0.79

Q1 FY26May 5 '26confirmed±8.3%▼−13.50%×1.62

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±13.0%▲+0.71%×0.05

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±13.0%▲+0.71%×0.05

Q1 FY26±8.3%▼−13.50%×1.62

Feb '26±7.7%▼−6.07%×0.79

Nov '25±10.3%▲+4.26%×0.42

Jul '25±9.4%▼−14.05%×1.50

Apr '25±10.6%▲+3.28%×0.31

2 older reports

Feb '25±5.9%▲+9.87%×1.66

Oct '24±8.3%▼−7.00%×0.84

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.74OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

6,618+1%Nov 2015d0.2625,082−1%0.26

2,5710%Dec 1843d0.485,328+1%0.48

16,4080%Jan 1571d0.6325,8420%0.63

report · Feb 10 · after close · est.

2,3190%Mar 19134d3,1310%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d6,618+1%25,082−1%0.26

Dec 1843d2,5710%5,328+1%0.48

Jan 1571d16,4080%25,8420%0.63

report · Feb 10 · after close · est.

Mar 19134d2,3190%3,1310%0.74

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

6.60%as filednet margin · revenue +8.80% QoQ · −14.56% YoY

Revenue

$384M+8.80% QoQ

Gross profit

$334M+7.87% QoQ

86.99% margin

Operating income

$23M+1.57% QoQ

5.97% margin

Pre-tax income

$39M+223.43% QoQ

Net income

$25M+69.11% QoQ

6.60% margin

Cost of revenue

$50M+15.42% QoQ

Operating expenses

$311M+8.37% QoQ

Depreciation $186M

Other operating $88M

SG&A $16M

Other operating $22M

Tax

$14M+592.53% QoQ

Other income

$16M+257.46% QoQ

Revenue$384M+8.80%

Gross profit

$334M+7.87%

86.99% margin

Operating income

$23M+1.57%

5.97% margin

Pre-tax income

$39M+223.43%

Net income

$25M+69.11%

6.60% margin

Cost of revenue

$50M+15.42%

Operating expenses

$311M+8.37%

Depreciation $186M

Other operating $88M

SG&A $16M

Other income$16M+257.46%

Tax$14M+592.53%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.06· ±2.7% vs ±2.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±2.7%2 of 10×1.06

FOMCrate decision±2.6%14 of 24×1.05

PPIproducer prices±2.4%5 of 10×0.97

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.4%12 of 19×0.96

CPROFcorporate profits±2.3%8 of 12×0.91

GDPgross domestic product±2.0%12 of 19×0.79

NFPjobs report±1.9%3 of 10×0.78

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.08 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	0.08	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.03	—
Q1 FY26	May 5 '26 · confirmed	0.38	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod