How often does Crescent Energy move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CRGYNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Crescent Energy Co (CRGY) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

13.52

Closed16:00 ET

Open13.63Volume8.6MMkt cap$5.7BP/E91.64Div yield3.56%

Day13.46 – 13.6828%52-wk7.46 – 15.4776%

CRGY

Crescent Energy Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 2

after close · in 119 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 2

after close

confirmedQ3 FY26

Implied vs realized

Linked news

39dCOP · customerConocoPhillips to hold third-quarter earnings conference call on Thursday, Nov. 5

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+12.39%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

363 managers

Top fund weight

0.08%

CRGY weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Crescent Energy (CRGY) is expected to report on Mar 2 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.3%
avg realized: ±3.1%

Jan 12 '26Jan 12 '26confirmed±6.5%▲+2.22%×0.34

Feb 25 '26Feb 25 '26confirmed±11.2%▲+4.95%×0.44

Q1 FY26Apr 9 '26confirmed±5.8%▲+0.71%×0.12

May 4 '26May 4 '26confirmed±9.4%▲+1.53%×0.16

Q2 FY26Jul 8 '26confirmed±7.4%▼−0.73%×0.10

Aug 3 '26Aug 3 '26confirmed±10.3%▼−1.31%×0.13

Q3 FY26Oct 8 '26confirmed±5.2%▼−3.41%×0.66

Oct 15 '26Oct 15 '26confirmed±2.2%▲+10.07%×4.57

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Oct '26±2.2%▲+10.07%×4.57

Q3 FY26±5.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.62OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,218+2%Nov 2017d0.0717,019−1%0.07

5,369−2%Dec 1845d0.2125,842−2%0.21

10,367+1%Jan 1573d0.6017,233+1%0.60

report · Mar 2 · after close · est.

2,861+1%Apr 16164d1,768+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d1,218+2%17,019−1%0.07

Dec 1845d5,369−2%25,842−2%0.21

Jan 1573d10,367+1%17,233+1%0.60

report · Mar 2 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−0.04%as filednet margin · revenue −3.14% QoQ · +55.92% YoY

Revenue$1.4B−3.14%

Gross profit$1.3B93.33%−3.03%

Operating income$479M35.43%−17.61%

Pre-tax income$5M−99.19%

Net income−$591,000−0.04%−100.12%

Cost of revenue$90M−4.54%

Operating expenses$782M+8.73%

Tax$6M−96.48%

Other expense−$473M−672.74%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.18· ±2.6% vs ±2.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.6%6 of 10×1.18

NFPjobs report±2.5%4 of 10×1.11

CPIconsumer prices±2.3%8 of 10×1.04

FOMCrate decision±2.3%12 of 24×1.04

GDPgross domestic product±1.6%8 of 19×0.73

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%6 of 19×0.65

CPROFcorporate profits±1.3%5 of 12×0.58

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.01 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 8 '26 · confirmed	-0.01	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 8 '26 · confirmed	1.30	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 9 '26 · confirmed	-1.28	—
Q3 FY25	—	-0.04	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod