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COP as of Oct 31 · 02:11 ET
COPNYSEPetroleum Refining

ConocoPhillips · Brief

Next report

5 days

Nov 5 · before openconfirmedQ3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
2 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±2.6%
avg realized
±2.1%
Oct 31 '24±2.4%▲+6.37%×2.63
Feb 6 '25±2.5%▼−0.27%×0.11
May 8 '25±2.8%▲+1.27%×0.45
Aug 7 '25±2.6%▼−0.55%×0.21
Q3 FY25±2.7%▼−2.33%×0.86
Feb 5 '26±2.4%▼−2.43%×1.02
Q1 FY26±2.3%▼−1.93%×0.85
Q2 FY26±2.8%▲+1.50%×0.54
quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×
Q2 FY26±2.8%▲+1.50%×0.54
Q1 FY26±2.3%▼−1.93%×0.85
Feb '26±2.4%▼−2.43%×1.02
Q3 FY25±2.7%▼−2.33%×0.86
Aug '25±2.6%▼−0.55%×0.21
May '25±2.8%▲+1.27%×0.45
2 older reports
Feb '25±2.5%▼−0.27%×0.11
Oct '24±2.4%▲+6.37%×2.63
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 5 report · confirmed

Bull2 of 3

2,470managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26
12tracked funds holding COPN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2 of 4

13.00%of SFL Corp Ltd.'s revenue from COPSEC filings
6 of 8recent reports with moves below options implied rangesEarnings history
AI captions · Sep 16 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

COP report session

Suppliers 3

CRGYCrescent Energy×1.22NEXTNextDecade×0.76SFLSFL×0.35
× = co-movement · max 499dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 22impliedImplied move: ±5.6% into Nov 5 earnings (Oct 22 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.