CMI as of Oct 31 · 22:56 ET
Expected move
Inputs2 of 8≥ implied
- avg implied
- ±6.0%
- avg realized
- ±4.8%
Nov 5 '24±5.1%▲+8.86%×1.74
Feb 4 '25±5.1%▲+4.39%×0.86
May 5 '25±5.7%▲+0.82%×0.14
Aug 5 '25±4.7%▲+3.22%×0.69
Q3 FY25±6.5%▲+5.38%×0.83
Feb 5 '26±5.9%▼−10.73%×1.81
Q1 FY26±6.5%▲+2.76%×0.43
Q2 FY26±8.1%▼−1.99%×0.24
quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×
Q2 FY26±8.1%▼−1.99%×0.24
Q1 FY26±6.5%▲+2.76%×0.43
Feb '26±5.9%▼−10.73%×1.81
Q3 FY25±6.5%▲+5.38%×0.83
Aug '25±4.7%▲+3.22%×0.69
May '25±5.7%▲+0.82%×0.14
2 older reports
Feb '25±5.1%▲+4.39%×0.86
Nov '24±5.1%▲+8.86%×1.74
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close
Bull & bear
Nov 5 report · est.Bull2 of 3
Bear2 of 3
AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case
Linked exposure
CMI report sessionSuppliers 2
× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data
Your note
privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0
No thesis.