How often does Commercial Metals move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CMCNYSESteel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)

Commercial Metals Co (CMC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

66.50

pre 66.46 0.00%

Pre-market09:14 ET

Open66.46Volume1.3MMkt cap$7.3BP/E11.23EPS5.92Div yield1.18%

Day66.46 – 66.4650%52-wk55.30 – 84.0639%

CMC

Commercial Metals Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 7

before open · in 63 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.12%

vs ±4.4% implied · ×0.03

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 15 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

8dSPGI · supplierS&P Global Q3 net income $1,240 million, revenue $3,678 million, diluted EPS $4.25
47dMCO · supplierMoody’s Just Delivered Its Best Quarter in Years. Is Its Stock Still Undervalued?

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.01%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

517 managers

Top fund weight

0.22%

CMC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Commercial Metals (CMC) is expected to report on Jan 7 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.6%
avg realized: ±3.1%

Jan 6 '25Jan 6 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+3.11%×0.52

Mar 20 '25Mar 20 '25confirmed±4.8%▲+1.07%×0.22

Jun 23 '25Jun 23 '25confirmed±8.7%▲+1.21%×0.14

Oct 16 '25Oct 16 '25confirmed±6.7%▼−7.26%×1.08

Jan 8 '26Jan 8 '26confirmed±5.9%▼−3.56%×0.61

Q2 FY26Mar 26 '26confirmed±8.3%▼−4.69%×0.57

Q3 FY26Jun 25 '26confirmed±8.2%▲+3.94%×0.48

Q4 FY26Oct 15 '26confirmed±4.4%▲+0.12%×0.03

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q4 FY26±4.4%▲+0.12%×0.03

Q3 FY26±8.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 2 close

0.09OI · 3 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

641+2%Nov 2015d0.252,5280%0.25

6300%Dec 1843d0.501,2560%0.50

report · Jan 7 · before open · est.

550%Mar 19134d626+2%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d641+2%2,5280%0.25

Dec 1843d6300%1,2560%0.50

report · Jan 7 · before open · est.

Mar 19134d550%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

7.99%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +7.05% QoQ · +25.72% YoY

Revenue

$2.7B+7.05% QoQ

Gross profit

$502M+10.19% QoQ

18.87% margin

Operating income

$205M+8.37% QoQ

7.70% margin

Pre-tax income

$229M+21.53% QoQ

Net income

$213M+22.83% QoQ

7.99% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.2B+6.35% QoQ

Operating expenses

$297M+11.48% QoQ

SG&A $231M

Other operating $66M

Tax

$17M+7.29% QoQ

Other income

$25M

Revenue$2.7B+7.05%

Gross profit

$502M+10.19%

18.87% margin

Operating income

$205M+8.37%

7.70% margin

Pre-tax income

$229M+21.53%

Net income

$213M+22.83%

7.99% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.2B+6.35%

Operating expenses

$297M+11.48%

SG&A $231M

Other operating $66M

Other income$25M

Tax$17M+7.29%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQDerived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Aug 31 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 09:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.15· ±1.9% vs ±1.6% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.9%12 of 24×1.15

NFPjobs report±1.8%7 of 10×1.08

PPIproducer prices±1.7%3 of 10×1.05

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%8 of 19×0.89

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%6 of 10×0.82

CPROFcorporate profits±1.3%9 of 12×0.79

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%10 of 19×0.78

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.90 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	Oct 15 '26 · confirmed	1.90	—
Q3 FY26	Jun 25 '26 · confirmed	1.55	—
Q2 FY26	Mar 26 '26 · confirmed	0.83	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod