How often does Cincinnati Financial move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CINFNasdaqFire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

183.96

pre 184.35 +0.31%

Pre-market15:59 ETdelayed

Open183.87Volume912,613Mkt cap$28.3BP/E10.71EPS17.22Div yield2.00%

Day181.01 – 185.1281%52-wk150.44 – 193.7178%

CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 8

after close · in 96 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.31%

vs ±5.2% implied · ×0.44

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 26 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.93%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

953 managers

Top fund weight

0.94%

CINF weight · FTC

N-PORTJul 31 '26

12 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Cincinnati Financial (CINF) is expected to report on Feb 8 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.8%
avg realized: ±2.5%

Feb 10 '25Feb 10 '25confirmed±4.4%▲+2.81%×0.65

Apr 28 '25Apr 28 '25confirmed±5.7%▲+2.93%×0.52

Jul 28 '25Jul 28 '25confirmed±4.3%▲+3.62%×0.85

Oct 27 '25Oct 27 '25confirmed±4.7%▼−3.74%×0.80

Feb 9 '26Feb 9 '26confirmed±4.1%▼−3.33%×0.81

Q1 FY26Apr 27 '26confirmed±4.7%▼−0.41%×0.09

Q2 FY26Jul 27 '26confirmed±5.3%▼−0.87%×0.16

Q3 FY26Oct 26 '26confirmed±5.2%▲+2.31%×0.44

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±5.2%▲+2.31%×0.44

Q2 FY26±5.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.63OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,264+1%Nov 2016d0.432,9140%0.43

3280%Dec 1844d0.171,9000%0.17

report · Feb 8 · after close · est.

459+11%Mar 19135d732+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d1,264+1%2,9140%0.43

Dec 1844d3280%1,9000%0.17

report · Feb 8 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d459+11%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

15.12%as filednet margin · revenue −28.76% QoQ · −18.26% YoY

Revenue$3.0B−28.76%

Pre-tax income$553M−64.91%

Net income$459M15.12%−63.43%

Tax$94M−70.72%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.26· ±1.3% vs ±1.0% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.3%5 of 10×1.26

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 26 '26 · confirmed	2.96	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 27 '26 · confirmed	8.05	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 27 '26 · confirmed	1.75	—

Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

Implied vs realized

Implied vs realized

Positioning

Positioning

Linked exposure

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

Revenue flow

Intraday

Intraday

Event sensitivity

Implied vs realized

Event sensitivity

Earnings history

Methodology

Linked exposure

Positioning

Revenue flow

Cincinnati Financial Corp (CINF) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

Intraday