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CF as of Nov 2 · 08:07 ET
CFNYSEAgricultural Chemicals

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. · Brief

Next report

2 days

Nov 4 · after closeest.Q3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
2 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±4.3%
avg realized
±2.2%
Nov 5 '25±4.4%▼−4.23%×0.95
Q3 FY25±4.4%▼−4.23%×0.95
Feb 18 '26±3.6%▲+3.80%×1.05
Feb 18 '26±3.6%▲+3.80%×1.05
May 6 '26±4.8%▼−0.90%×0.19
Q1 FY26±4.8%▼−0.90%×0.19
Aug 5 '26±4.4%▲+0.02%×0.00
Q2 FY26±4.4%▲+0.02%×0.00
quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×
Q2 FY26±4.4%▲+0.02%×0.00
Aug '26±4.4%▲+0.02%×0.00
Q1 FY26±4.8%▼−0.90%×0.19
May '26±4.8%▼−0.90%×0.19
Feb '26±3.6%▲+3.80%×1.05
Feb '26±3.6%▲+3.80%×1.05
2 older reports
Q3 FY25±4.4%▼−4.23%×0.95
Nov '25±4.4%▼−4.23%×0.95
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 4 report · est.

Bull2

9tracked funds holding CFN-PORT · Aug 31 '26
11disclosed supplier and customer ties in SEC filingsSEC filings

Bear2

13.00%of revenue from the largest disclosed customer CHS IncSEC filings
6 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history
AI captions · Sep 16 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

CF report session

Suppliers 1

OXYOccidental Petroleum×0.47
× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±6.9% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.