How often does Capricor Therapeutics move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CAPRNasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. (CAPR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

8.26

+1.02 · +14.04%

post 8.20 −0.69%

Closed19:33 ET

Open7.25Volume4.5MMkt cap$479.1MEPS-2.45

Day7.21 – 8.3190%52-wk2.96 – 40.3714%

CAPR

Capricor Therapeutics, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 5 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+57.96%

vs ±35.1% implied · ×1.65

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 13 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+24.18%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

175 managers

Top fund weight

0.49%

CAPR weight · XBI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±19.2%
avg realized: ±14.6%

Nov 13 '24Nov 13 '24confirmed±12.3%▲+9.34%×0.76

Mar 19 '25Mar 19 '25confirmed±8.2%▲+17.51%×2.13

May 13 '25May 13 '25confirmed±10.1%▲+5.07%×0.50

Aug 11 '25Aug 11 '25confirmed±18.5%▲+2.88%×0.16

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±50.7%▲+11.51%×0.23

Q1 FY26Mar 12 '26confirmed±10.0%▼−8.74%×0.87

May 12 '26May 12 '26confirmed±9.0%▼−3.78%×0.42

Q2 FY26Aug 13 '26confirmed±35.1%▲+57.96%×1.65

quarterimplied−60%0+60%realized×

Q2 FY26±35.1%▲+57.96%×1.65

May '26±9.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.03OI · 8 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 13 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

644+8%Nov 62d0.097,340+13%0.09

report · Nov 9 · after close · est.

374+20%Nov 139d10,809+1%

10,1450%Nov 2016d1.676,074+2%1.67

21,604+1%Nov 2723d6.833,165+19%6.83

4 later expiries

291+4%Dec 430d11.6425+127%11.64

25,9730%Dec 1844d0.49

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 62d644+8%7,340+13%0.09

report · Nov 9 · after close · est.

Nov 139d374+20%10,809+1%0.03

Nov 2016d10,1450%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY24

−63.94%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +392.14% QoQ · −7.92% YoY

Revenue$11M+392.14%

Gross profit$11M100.00%+392.14%

Operating income−$8M−69.15%+40.84%

Pre-tax income−$7M+43.34%

Net income−$7M−63.94%+43.32%

Operating expenses$19M+24.02%

Other income$694,043+53.16%

Derived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Dec 31 '24 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.44· ±6.9% vs ±4.8% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±6.9%10 of 19×1.44

PCEpersonal income & outlays±6.1%10 of 19×1.27

FOMCrate decision±4.5%11 of 23×0.94

CPROFcorporate profits±4.3%7 of 12×0.89

NFPjobs report±3.8%4 of 10×0.78

CPIconsumer prices±2.0%6 of 10×0.41

PPIproducer prices±1.6%3 of 10×0.33

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±4.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.70 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 13 '26 · confirmed	-0.70	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 12 '26 · confirmed	-0.59	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-0.54	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod