How often does First Busey move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

BUSENasdaqState Commercial Banks

First Busey Corp (BUSE) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

29.23

−0.01 · −0.03%

post 28.91 −1.09%

Closed15:59 ET

Open29.09Volume953,193Mkt cap$2.4BP/E11.08EPS2.61Div yield3.56%

Day28.90 – 29.162%52-wk21.31 – 31.4375%

BUSE

First Busey Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 26

after close · in 83 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.11%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 27 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.08%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

257 managers

Top fund weight

0.08%

BUSE weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

First Busey (BUSE) is expected to report on Jan 26 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.8%
avg realized: ±2.5%

Jan 28 '25Jan 28 '25confirmed±18.9%▲+1.88%×0.10

Apr 22 '25Apr 22 '25confirmed±11.5%▲+3.26%×0.28

Jul 22 '25Jul 22 '25confirmed±11.5%▼−1.99%×0.17

Q3 FY25Oct 28 '25confirmed±11.1%▼−3.06%×0.28

Jan 27 '26Jan 27 '26confirmed±4.8%▼−2.63%×0.55

Q1 FY26Apr 28 '26confirmed±6.5%▼−2.86%×0.44

Q2 FY26Jul 28 '26confirmed±11.2%▲+1.60%×0.14

Oct 27 '26Oct 27 '26confirmed—▼−3.11%—

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Oct '26—▼−3.11%—

Q2 FY26±11.2%▲+1.60%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.00OI · 2 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

20%

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

32.12%as filednet margin · revenue +0.24% QoQ · −0.67% YoY

Revenue$197M+0.24%

Pre-tax income$82M+28.64%

Net income$63M32.12%+26.40%

Tax$19M+36.83%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.72· ±2.2% vs ±1.3% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.2%12 of 24×1.72

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%13 of 19×0.82

PPIproducer prices±1.0%5 of 10×0.77

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%9 of 19×0.68

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%9 of 12×0.66

NFPjobs report±0.8%4 of 10×0.63

CPIconsumer prices±0.5%6 of 10×0.40

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.69 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 28 '26 · confirmed	0.69	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 28 '26 · confirmed	0.52	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 28 '25 · confirmed	0.58	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod