How often does Bunge Global move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

BGNYSEFats & Oils

Bunge Global SA (BG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

97.07

+2.35 · +2.48%

post 97.25 +0.19%

After hours17:29 ETdelayed

Open96.43Volume2.2MMkt cap$18.2BP/E17.75EPS5.48Div yield3.00%

Day95.48 – 98.5358%52-wk86.67 – 134.0222%

Bunge Global SA

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 3

before open · in 91 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.74%

vs ±7.0% implied · ×0.68

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.24%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

745 managers

Top fund weight

0.94%

BG weight · XLP

N-PORTJun 30 '26

8 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Bunge Global (BG) is expected to report on Feb 3 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.2%
avg realized: ±3.7%

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±5.8%▼−6.86%×1.18

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±6.0%▼−2.89%×0.48

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±5.7%▲+5.19%×0.91

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±5.9%▲+1.78%×0.30

Feb 4 '26Feb 4 '26confirmed±5.8%▲+0.30%×0.05

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±6.3%▼−0.04%×0.01

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±7.1%▼−8.17%×1.15

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±7.0%▼−4.74%×0.68

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.0%▼−4.74%×0.68

Q2 FY26±7.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.37OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,094+3%Nov 2016d0.732,864+6%0.73

153+46%Dec 1844d0.51300−1%0.51

4,6380%Jan 1572d0.2518,722+3%0.25

report · Feb 3 · before open · est.

2,3930%Apr 16163d6,507+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d2,094+3%2,864+6%0.73

Dec 1844d153+46%300−1%0.51

Jan 1572d4,6380%18,722+3%0.25

report · Feb 3 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

1.46%as filednet margin · revenue −0.99% QoQ · +7.44% YoY

Revenue

$23.8B−0.99% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.3B−20.76% QoQ

5.60% margin

Operating income

$727M−32.37% QoQ

3.05% margin

Pre-tax income

$515M−45.39% QoQ

Net income

$347M−50.92% QoQ

1.46% margin

Cost of revenue

$22.5B+0.50% QoQ

Operating expenses

$605M−0.17% QoQ

Other expense

$212M

Tax

$168M−28.81% QoQ

Revenue$23.8B−0.99%

Gross profit

$1.3B−20.76%

5.60% margin

Operating income

$727M−32.37%

3.05% margin

Pre-tax income

$515M−45.39%

Net income

$347M−50.92%

1.46% margin

Cost of revenue

$22.5B+0.50%

Operating expenses

$605M−0.17%

Other expense

$212M

Tax$168M−28.81%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 17:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.52· ±2.0% vs ±1.3% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.0%8 of 24×1.52

NFPjobs report±1.6%6 of 10×1.18

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.4%7 of 19×1.06

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%9 of 19×1.03

CPROFcorporate profits±1.3%7 of 12×1.01

PPIproducer prices±1.2%4 of 10×0.94

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%7 of 10×0.80

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.64 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	1.64	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	3.47	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	0.35	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod