How often does Bicara Therapeutics move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

BCAXNasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

9.10

+0.14 · +1.55%

Regular session10:10 ET

Open8.99Volume2.3MMkt cap$538.7MEPS-3.09

Day8.99 – 9.1476%52-wk7.87 – 30.995%

BCAX

Bicara Therapeutics Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

before open · in 5 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−14.32%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 11 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.54%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

175 managers

Top fund weight

0.30%

BCAX weight · XBI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Bicara Therapeutics (BCAX) is expected to report on Nov 9 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±22.4%
avg realized: ±4.6%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±17.0%▼−7.30%×0.43

Mar 27 '25Mar 27 '25confirmed±29.3%▲+2.29%×0.08

May 13 '25May 13 '25confirmed±27.4%▼−8.10%×0.30

Aug 12 '25Aug 12 '25confirmed±21.2%▲+4.80%×0.23

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±29.2%▼−4.85%×0.17

Q1 FY26Mar 30 '26confirmed±13.5%▲+3.65%×0.27

May 11 '26May 11 '26confirmed±19.1%▲+1.51%×0.08

Q2 FY26Aug 11 '26confirmed—▼−14.32%—

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY26—▼−14.32%—

May '26±19.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.29OI · 5 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

474+652%Nov 2016d1,6080%

9380%Dec 1844d0.332,8110%0.33

1,0630%Jan 1572d9.491120%9.49

133−1%Mar 19135d1.04128−2%1.04

0−100%Apr 16163d0.0052+2%0.00

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d474+652%1,6080%0.29

Dec 1844d9380%2,8110%0.33

Jan 1572d1,0630%1120%9.49

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

No filed income statement.

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.03· ±3.5% vs ±3.3% · 17 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.5%3 of 17×1.03

PPIproducer prices±3.0%4 of 10×0.90

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.4%11 of 19×0.70

NFPjobs report±2.1%3 of 10×0.63

GDPgross domestic product±2.1%12 of 19×0.62

CPROFcorporate profits±1.9%7 of 12×0.58

CPIconsumer prices±1.7%3 of 10×0.52

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.82 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 11 '26 · confirmed	-0.82	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 30 '26 · confirmed	-0.93	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-0.67	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod