How often does American Vanguard move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AVDNYSEAgricultural Chemicals

American Vanguard Corp (AVD) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.07

+0.02 · +1.69%

Regular session10:33 ET

Open1.07Volume182,947Mkt cap$31.0M

Day1.07 – 1.070%52-wk1.00 – 5.551%

AVD

American Vanguard Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 11

before open · in 7 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.91%

vs ±16.6% implied · ×0.05

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 11 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

−13.81%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

105 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

AVD weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

American Vanguard (AVD) is expected to report on Nov 11 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.3%
avg realized: ±5.9%

Aug 9 '24Aug 9 '24confirmed±8.9%▲+9.38%×1.05

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±13.7%▲+9.17%×0.67

Mar 14 '25Mar 14 '25confirmed±10.5%▼−5.74%×0.55

Jun 6 '25Jun 6 '25confirmed±5.6%▲+1.65%×0.29

Aug 1 '25Aug 1 '25confirmed±20.5%▲+3.33%×0.16

Q3 FY25Nov 12 '25confirmed±7.8%▲+3.29%×0.42

Q1 FY26Mar 18 '26confirmed±23.1%▼−13.58%×0.59

Q2 FY26Aug 11 '26confirmed±16.6%▼−0.91%×0.05

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±16.6%▼−0.91%×0.05

Q1 FY26±23.1%▼−13.58%×0.59

Q3 FY25±7.8%▲+3.29%×0.42

Aug '25±20.5%▲+3.33%×0.16

Jun '25±5.6%▲+1.65%×0.29

Mar '25±10.5%▼−5.74%×0.55

2 older reports

Nov '24±13.7%▲+9.17%×0.67

Aug '24±8.9%▲+9.38%×1.05

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.15OI · 2 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1290%Nov 2016d8700%

360%Feb 19107d0.11339+10%0.11

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d1290%8700%0.15

Feb 19107d360%339+10%0.11

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−8.45%as filednet margin · revenue −5.51% QoQ · −9.71% YoY

Revenue$117M−5.51%

Gross profit$35M29.73%−9.64%

Operating income−$303,000−0.26%−116.04%

Pre-tax income−$9M−135.89%

Net income−$10M−8.45%−138.07%

Cost of revenue$82M−3.65%

Operating expenses$35M−4.14%

Tax$383,000+208.87%

Other expense−$9M−55.36%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.34· ±3.6% vs ±2.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.6%6 of 10×1.34

NFPjobs report±3.6%6 of 10×1.33

FOMCrate decision±3.4%13 of 24×1.28

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.4%11 of 19×1.25

CPROFcorporate profits±2.5%7 of 12×0.94

GDPgross domestic product±2.1%10 of 19×0.78

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%3 of 10×0.50

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.34 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 11 '26 · confirmed	-0.34	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 18 '26 · confirmed	-0.14	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 12 '25 · confirmed	-0.43	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod