AVAV as of Oct 31 · 00:05 ET

AVAVNasdaqAircraft

AeroVironment Inc · Brief

Next report

38 days

Dec 8 · after closeest.Q2 FY27

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±7.9%implied · report alone

116.19136.03

straddle ±16.5%

spot 126.11exp Dec 11ATM strike 126ATM straddle 24.55IV 72%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structurethin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±11.1%
avg realized: ±8.8%

Dec 4 '24±11.7%▼−15.88%×1.35

Mar 4 '25±12.6%▼−4.38%×0.35

Jun 24 '25±11.8%▲+1.07%×0.09

Sep 9 '25±10.3%▲+6.95%×0.68

Q2 FY26±10.1%▼−12.85%×1.28

Q3 FY26±9.2%▼−6.25%×0.68

Q1 FY27±12.3%▲+18.76%×1.52

Sep 9 '26±10.7%▲+4.45%×0.42

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Sep '26±10.7%▲+4.45%×0.42

Q1 FY27±12.3%▲+18.76%×1.52

Q3 FY26±9.2%▼−6.25%×0.68

Q2 FY26±10.1%▼−12.85%×1.28

Sep '25±10.3%▲+6.95%×0.68

Jun '25±11.8%▲+1.07%×0.09

2 older reports

Mar '25±12.6%▼−4.38%×0.35

Dec '24±11.7%▼−15.88%×1.35

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Dec 8 report · est.

Bull2 of 4

615managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

4tracked funds holding AVAVN-PORT · Jul 31 '26

Bear2 of 4

25.00%of revenue from the largest disclosed customer, U.S. ArmySEC filings

5 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options-implied rangeEarnings history

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

AVAV report session

Suppliers 1

AMPXAmprius Technologies×0.58

× = co-movement · max 499dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

No changes.

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.