How often does Atlantic Union Bankshares move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AUBNYSEState Commercial Banks

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp (AUB) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

40.40

+0.80 · +2.02%

Regular session10:44 ET

Open39.79Volume1.1MMkt cap$5.5BP/E11.07EPS3.65Div yield3.74%

Day39.79 – 41.1146%52-wk30.02 – 43.2479%

AUB

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 21

before open · in 78 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.19%

vs ±11.6% implied · ×0.10

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 20 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.91%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

449 managers

Top fund weight

0.19%

AUB weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) is expected to report on Jan 21 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.9%
avg realized: ±2.0%

Jan 23 '25Jan 23 '25confirmed±16.8%▼−3.43%×0.20

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±10.8%▲+0.42%×0.04

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±7.4%▼−1.75%×0.24

Q3 FY25Oct 23 '25confirmed±12.4%▼−3.20%×0.26

Jan 22 '26Jan 22 '26confirmed±9.9%▼−0.80%×0.08

Q1 FY26Apr 21 '26confirmed±7.3%▼−3.02%×0.41

Q2 FY26Jul 21 '26confirmed±10.7%▲+1.86%×0.17

Q3 FY26Oct 20 '26confirmed±11.6%▲+1.19%×0.10

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±11.6%▲+1.19%×0.10

Q2 FY26±10.7%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.07OI · 2 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

760%Jan 1572d0.243130%0.24

report · Jan 21 · before open · est.

44+10%Apr 16163d6140%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1572d760%3130%0.24

report · Jan 21 · before open · est.

Apr 16163d44+10%6140%0.07

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

35.65%as filednet margin · revenue −7.74% QoQ · +3.30% YoY

Revenue$383M−7.74%

Pre-tax income$173M−15.33%

Net income$137M35.65%−15.14%

Tax$37M−16.01%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.49· ±2.1% vs ±1.4% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.1%9 of 24×1.49

PPIproducer prices±1.7%5 of 10×1.19

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%9 of 19×0.72

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%6 of 12×0.67

NFPjobs report±0.9%4 of 10×0.64

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%8 of 19×0.58

CPIconsumer prices±0.7%5 of 10×0.46

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.94 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 20 '26 · confirmed	0.94	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 21 '26 · confirmed	1.11	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 21 '26 · confirmed	0.84	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 23 '25 · confirmed	0.63	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod