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ARVN

ARVINAS, INC.
8.99post−$0.02 (−0.17%)at close +$0.94 (+11.66%)
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as of 19:59:57 UTCnext report Nov 5 · 92d
Earnings Room‹ back to ARVN

The report

reported · awaiting the session that absorbs it
Aug 4before the opennext Nov 5
Reported yesterday, before the openThe market priced ±9.0% into it; the session that absorbs it hasn't closed yet

The reaction

Loading the session…

Expected movement · next report

market-implied · at the Aug 4 close
±28.6%is what the chain prices between now and the expiry below. Not a view we hold.

That span is 164days, so it covers the report plus the ordinary movement around it. The chain doesn't yet quote a second expiry we can separate the two with; the range narrows onto the report as it approaches.

expiry Jan 15 · first after the reportATM strike 9straddle 3.03ATM IV 64%× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 8.99

Blast radius

4 linked · N-PORT + EDGAR

If ARVN moves ±28.6% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are named by filings and their coefficient measured against two years of daily returns.

Positioning

4 expiries · as of the Aug 4 close

Contracts already committed, not just traded today — puts against calls, sized by expiry. The tick is today's volume moving against that stance; the arrow, how much built up since the prior session.

OI ΔPutsOI
Expiry
OICallsOI Δ
▼ −2%
569
Aug 21
17d
782
▲ +7%
▲ +0%
146
Sep 18
45d
33
▲ +43%
▲ +0%
189
Oct 16
73d
358
▼ −2%
▲ +0%
249
Jan 15
164d
855
▲ +1%

The record

expected in pale · actual in full color
2/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±6.5% realized vs ±15.0% priced
May 12 '26±8.5%→−0.9%×0.11
Feb 24 '26±22.1%→+0.6%×0.03
Nov 5 '25±13.3%→+0.3%×0.02
Aug 6 '25±9.6%→−15.5%×1.61
May 1 '25±10.6%→−24.8%×2.35
Feb 11 '25±27.0%→−6.8%×0.25
Oct 30 '24±13.3%→+0.6%×0.04
Jul 30 '24±15.8%→−2.5%×0.16
pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied
2-quarter memory
Q2 FY26 · reported 2.58 · rev $250M
record note

The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.