How often does Arcbest move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ARCBNasdaqTrucking (No Local)

Arcbest Corp (ARCB) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

136.15

+1.67 · +1.24%

post 136.15 0.00%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open131.24Volume367,819Mkt cap$3.0BP/E191.77EPS0.71Div yield0.36%

Day129.38 – 137.3885%52-wk59.25 – 176.5366%

ARCB

Arcbest Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 29

before open · in 86 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

before open

confirmedNov 3 close

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.65%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

329 managers

Top fund weight

0.10%

ARCB weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Arcbest (ARCB) is expected to report on Jan 29 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.6%
avg realized: ±4.3%

Nov 1 '24Nov 1 '24confirmed±9.2%▼−3.99%×0.43

Jan 31 '25Jan 31 '25confirmed±9.6%▲+1.16%×0.12

Apr 29 '25Apr 29 '25confirmed±10.9%▼−4.01%×0.37

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±11.0%▼−12.60%×1.15

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±10.7%▼−0.88%×0.08

Jan 30 '26Jan 30 '26confirmed±8.7%▲+5.76%×0.67

Q1 FY26Apr 28 '26confirmed±13.4%▲+0.80%×0.06

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±11.4%▼−5.35%×0.47

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±11.4%▼−5.35%×0.47

Q1 FY26±13.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.64OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

440%Nov 2016d0.7360+2%0.73

1630%Dec 1844d0.256410%0.25

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

300%Mar 19135d470%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d440%60+2%0.73

Dec 1844d1630%6410%0.25

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

Mar 19135d300%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

4.27%as filednet margin · revenue +2.19% QoQ · +15.49% YoY

Revenue

$1.2B+2.19% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.2B+2.19% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$73M+455.59% QoQ

6.06% margin

Pre-tax income

$71M+438.20% QoQ

Net income

$52M+473.69% QoQ

4.27% margin

Operating expenses

$1.1B−5.64% QoQ

Other expense

$2M

Tax

$19M+369.41% QoQ

Revenue$1.2B+2.19%

Gross profit

$1.2B+2.19%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$73M+455.59%

6.06% margin

Pre-tax income

$71M+438.20%

Net income

$52M+473.69%

4.27% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$1.1B−5.64%

Other expense

$2M

Tax$19M+369.41%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.50· ±3.3% vs ±2.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.3%10 of 24×1.50

PPIproducer prices±2.6%7 of 10×1.16

NFPjobs report±2.4%6 of 10×1.06

CPIconsumer prices±2.1%4 of 10×0.94

GDPgross domestic product±1.6%9 of 19×0.73

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%12 of 19×0.66

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%7 of 12×0.43

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.30 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	2.30	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	-0.62	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 28 '26 · confirmed	-0.05	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod