How often does Aptiv move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

APTVNYSEMotor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Aptiv PLC (APTV) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

43.99

Closed16:52 ET

Open44.52Volume2.2MMkt cap$9.1BP/E26.03EPS1.69Div yield21.45%

Day43.59 – 44.5243%52-wk41.88 – 78.496%

APTV

Aptiv PLC

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 2

before open · in 2 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−16.62%

vs ±11.6% implied · ×1.43

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 4 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

2dMBLY · supplierMobileye records $3,788 million goodwill impairment; nine-month net loss $3,906 million
4dNXPI · supplierStocks making the biggest moves after hours: Visa, Robinhood, NXP, Seagate and more

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+18.05%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

661 managers

Top fund weight

0.32%

APTV weight · XLY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

9 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Aptiv (APTV) is expected to report on Nov 2 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.3%
avg realized: ±5.0%

Jan 22 '25Jan 22 '25confirmed±8.5%▲+1.52%×0.18

Feb 6 '25Feb 6 '25confirmed±8.4%▲+3.61%×0.43

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±7.9%▼−0.18%×0.02

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed±8.0%▲+2.94%×0.37

Q3 FY25Oct 30 '25confirmed±8.5%▼−4.26%×0.50

Feb 2 '26Feb 2 '26confirmed±7.2%▲+2.94%×0.41

Q1 FY25May 5 '26confirmed±6.4%▼−7.90%×1.23

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±11.6%▼−16.62%×1.43

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±11.6%▼−16.62%×1.43

Q1 FY25±6.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.97OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4,793+3%Nov 2020d4,9370%

1,0370%Dec 1848d1.43727+1%1.43

4,6320%Jan 1576d0.3015,3320%0.30

1,8190%Feb 19111d0.1314,4970%0.13

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d4,793+3%4,9370%0.97

Dec 1848d1,0370%727+1%1.43

Jan 1576d4,6320%15,3320%0.30

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

7.54%as filednet margin · revenue −35.63% QoQ · +2.34% YoY

Revenue

$3.3B−35.63% QoQ

Gross profit

$775M−15.76% QoQ

23.67% margin

Operating income

$367M−2.91% QoQ

11.21% margin

Pre-tax income

$663M+132.63% QoQ

Net income

$247M+29.32% QoQ

7.54% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.5B−40.01% QoQ

Operating expenses

$408M−24.72% QoQ

SG&A $332M

Other operating $76M

Other expense

$1M

Tax

$52M−35.80% QoQ

Revenue$3.3B−35.63%

Gross profit

$775M−15.76%

23.67% margin

Operating income

$367M−2.91%

11.21% margin

Pre-tax income

$663M+132.63%

Net income

$247M+29.32%

7.54% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.5B−40.01%

Operating expenses

$408M−24.72%

SG&A $332M

Other operating $76M

Other expense

$1M

Tax$52M−35.80%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.65· ±2.9% vs ±1.8% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.9%5 of 11×1.65

NFPjobs report±2.6%6 of 10×1.46

CPIconsumer prices±1.8%3 of 11×1.02

FOMCrate decision±1.8%7 of 24×1.00

CPROFcorporate profits±1.7%5 of 12×0.95

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%9 of 19×0.88

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%8 of 19×0.88

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.17 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	1.17	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.88	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 30 '25 · confirmed	-1.63	—
Q1 FY25	May 5 '26 · confirmed	0.88	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod