How often does Amphenol move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

APHNYSEElectronic Connectors

Amphenol Corp (APH) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

84.10

+4.26 · +5.34%

post 84.70 +0.71%

After hours17:05 ETdelayed

Open80.78Volume17.4MMkt cap$197.1BP/E35.29EPS2.40Div yield0.63%

Day80.10 – 85.2889%52-wk58.82 – 89.9383%

APH

Amphenol Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 27

before open · in 85 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+3.52%

vs ±9.3% implied · ×0.38

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

4dPCRX · customerViatris Announces Commencement of Tender Offer to Acquire Pacira BioSciences, Inc.

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−0.22%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

2,345 managers

Top fund weight

1.21%

APH weight · XLK

N-PORTJun 30 '26

12 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Amphenol (APH) is expected to report on Jan 27 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.9%
avg realized: ±5.4%

Jan 22 '25Jan 22 '25confirmed±6.8%▲+7.04%×1.03

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±8.0%▲+8.21%×1.02

Jul 23 '25Jul 23 '25confirmed±7.6%▼−1.05%×0.14

Oct 22 '25Oct 22 '25confirmed±9.6%▲+3.61%×0.37

Jan 28 '26Jan 28 '26confirmed±8.5%▼−12.20%×1.43

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±9.6%▲+3.24%×0.34

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±11.8%▲+4.49%×0.38

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed±9.3%▲+3.52%×0.38

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±9.3%▲+3.52%×0.38

Q2 FY26±11.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.91OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

111,580+2%Nov 2017d2.0354,966+2%2.03

12,024+11%Dec 1845d0.3633,181+4%0.36

24,717+17%Jan 1573d0.8628,581+2%0.86

report · Jan 27 · before open · est.

9,473+1%Mar 19136d10,371+9%

886+4%Apr 16164d0.99892+6%0.99

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d111,580+2%54,966+2%2.03

Dec 1845d12,024+11%33,181+4%0.36

Jan 1573d24,717+17%28,581+2%0.86

report · Jan 27 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

20.09%as filednet margin · revenue +16.80% QoQ · +65.14% YoY

Revenue

$10.2B+16.80% QoQ

Gross profit

$4.0B+13.20% QoQ

39.26% margin

Operating income

$3.0B+16.88% QoQ

29.53% margin

Pre-tax income

$2.8B+18.46% QoQ

Net income

$2.1B+15.17% QoQ

20.09% margin

Cost of revenue

$6.2B+19.26% QoQ

Operating expenses

$995M+3.32% QoQ

SG&A $980M

Other operating $16M

Other expense

$192M

Tax

$775M+28.16% QoQ

Revenue$10.2B+16.80%

Gross profit

$4.0B+13.20%

39.26% margin

Operating income

$3.0B+16.88%

29.53% margin

Pre-tax income

$2.8B+18.46%

Net income

$2.1B+15.17%

20.09% margin

Cost of revenue

$6.2B+19.26%

Operating expenses

$995M+3.32%

SG&A $980M

Other operating $16M

Other expense

$192M

Tax$775M+28.16%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 17:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.66· ±2.6% vs ±1.6% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±2.6%8 of 10×1.66

NFPjobs report±2.6%3 of 10×1.64

FOMCrate decision±2.5%16 of 24×1.58

PPIproducer prices±2.4%2 of 10×1.51

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.6%11 of 19×1.01

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%12 of 19×0.98

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%8 of 12×0.90

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.79 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	0.79	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	1.37	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	0.72	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod