How often does American Outdoor Brands move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AOUTNasdaqSporting & Athletic Goods, NEC

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

17.73

−0.19 · −1.06%

Regular session09:35 ET

Open17.73Volume203,777Mkt cap$227.9MEPS-0.31

Day17.73 – 17.7350%52-wk6.26 – 19.5087%

AOUT

American Outdoor Brands, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Dec 7

after close · in 32 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+44.66%

vs ±10.2% implied · ×4.38

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Sep 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

54dSWBI · supplierSmith & Wesson’s (SWBI) Profit Turnaround Comes With a Catch

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−7.85%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

98 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

AOUT weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) is expected to report on Dec 7 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.8%
avg realized: ±17.4%

Jun 27 '25Jun 27 '25confirmed±10.9%▼−13.13%×1.21

Sep 4 '25Sep 4 '25confirmed±9.3%▼−18.13%×1.95

Sep 5 '25Sep 5 '25confirmed±9.3%▼−18.13%×1.95

Q2 FY26Dec 9 '25confirmed±9.3%▲+4.42%×0.48

Q3 FY26Mar 12 '26confirmed±13.6%▼−6.55%×0.48

Jun 25 '26Jun 25 '26confirmed±20.1%▲+17.05%×0.85

Jun 26 '26Jun 26 '26confirmed±20.1%▲+17.05%×0.85

Q1 FY27Sep 3 '26confirmed±10.2%▲+44.66%×4.38

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Q1 FY27±10.2%▲+44.66%×4.38

Jun '26±20.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Aug 31 close

0.00OI · 2 expiries · Aug 31 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

0—Dec 1843d89—

60%Jan 1571d0.18330%0.18

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1843d0—89—0.00

Jan 1571d60%330%0.18

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

−4.10%as filednet margin · revenue −20.84% QoQ · +25.43% YoY

Revenue$37M−20.84%

Gross profit$20M52.97%−10.54%

Operating income−$2M−5.68%−489.42%

Pre-tax income−$2M−292.54%

Net income−$2M−4.10%−301.05%

Cost of revenue$18M−29.92%

Operating expenses$22M−2.53%

Tax$1,000+112.50%

Other income$589,000+2063.33%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jul 31 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 09:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×3.11· ±7.3% vs ±2.3% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±7.3%6 of 10×3.11

CPROFcorporate profits±3.0%7 of 12×1.30

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.9%8 of 19×1.26

GDPgross domestic product±2.8%9 of 19×1.19

FOMCrate decision±2.1%11 of 24×0.91

PPIproducer prices±1.8%7 of 10×0.79

CPIconsumer prices±1.7%5 of 10×0.73

Bar = avg |move| to ±8% · tick = ±2.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.12 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	Sep 3 '26 · confirmed	-0.12	—
Q4 FY26	—	-0.03	—
Q3 FY26	Mar 12 '26 · confirmed	-0.32	—
Q2 FY26	Dec 9 '25 · confirmed	0.16	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod