How often does Amerant Bancorp move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AMTBNYSENational Commercial Banks

Amerant Bancorp Inc. (AMTB) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

29.49

−0.58 · −1.92%

post 29.50 +0.02%

Closed16:00 ET

Open30.75Volume511,088Mkt cap$1.2BP/E17.15EPS1.72Div yield1.20%

Day29.43 – 30.755%52-wk16.41 – 30.8591%

AMTB

Amerant Bancorp Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 21

after close · in 77 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.35%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.14%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

143 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

AMTB weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Amerant Bancorp (AMTB) is expected to report on Jan 21 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.7%
avg realized: ±5.9%

Jan 22 '25Jan 22 '25confirmed±11.3%▲+4.82%×0.43

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±12.0%▼−13.09%×1.09

Jul 23 '25Jul 23 '25confirmed±13.3%▲+0.60%×0.05

Oct 28 '25Oct 28 '25confirmed±17.5%▼−3.65%×0.21

Jan 22 '26Jan 22 '26confirmed±21.5%▼−4.28%×0.20

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±10.0%▼−4.92%×0.49

Q2 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±10.1%▲+10.25%×1.01

Q3 FY26Oct 22 '26confirmed—▲+1.35%—

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+1.35%—

Q2 FY26±10.1%▲+10.25%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Aug 28 close

0.30OI · 1 expiry · Aug 28 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

10+11%Jan 1571d33+22%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1571d10+11%33+22%0.30

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

23.64%as filednet margin · revenue +8.01% QoQ · −2.37% YoY

Revenue$109M+8.01%

Pre-tax income$34M+23.59%

Net income$26M23.64%+22.21%

Tax$8M+28.38%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.26· ±2.0% vs ±1.6% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.0%12 of 24×1.26

PPIproducer prices±1.4%5 of 10×0.89

NFPjobs report±1.2%4 of 10×0.76

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%7 of 12×0.76

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%9 of 19×0.67

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%10 of 19×0.64

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%6 of 10×0.52

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.65 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	0.65	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	0.53	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	0.44	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod