How often does Amcor move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AMCRNYSEMiscellaneous Manufacturing Industries

Amcor plc (AMCR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

45.27

−3.23 · −6.66%

Regular session13:23 ET

Open44.50Volume8.6MMkt cap$22.4BP/E18.94EPS2.39Div yield5.36%

Day43.00 – 45.9776%52-wk35.15 – 49.7169%

AMCR

Amcor plc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 2

after close · in 89 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

after close

confirmedNov 4 close

Implied vs realized

Linked news

10dKOF · customerCoca-Cola FEMSA posts 3Q26 revenue Ps. 79,718 million and operating income Ps. 11,874 million

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.93%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

696 managers

Top fund weight

2.68%

AMCR weight · XLB

N-PORTJun 30 '26

7 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Amcor (AMCR) is expected to report on Feb 2 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.5%
avg realized: ±5.6%

Oct 31 '24Oct 31 '24confirmed±5.0%▼−7.82%×1.58

Feb 4 '25Feb 4 '25confirmed±4.1%▲+5.13%×1.25

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±5.7%▼−1.30%×0.23

Aug 14 '25Aug 14 '25confirmed±3.8%▼−11.87%×3.10

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±7.9%▲+1.86%×0.23

Q2 FY26Feb 3 '26confirmed±6.0%▲+8.10%×1.36

Q3 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±6.3%▲+6.83%×1.08

Q4 FY26Aug 12 '26confirmed±5.5%▼−1.77%×0.32

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q4 FY26±5.5%▼−1.77%×0.32

Q3 FY26±6.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.15OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

871+1%Nov 2015d0.214,166+1%0.21

103+18%Dec 1843d0.482160%0.48

5,1130%Jan 1571d0.806,3870%0.80

report · Feb 2 · after close · est.

81+3%Apr 16162d5500%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d871+1%4,166+1%0.21

Dec 1843d103+18%2160%0.48

Jan 1571d5,1130%6,3870%0.80

report · Feb 2 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

6.08%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +8.18% QoQ · +25.90% YoY

Revenue

$6.4B+8.18% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.3B+12.35% QoQ

20.90% margin

Operating income

$646M+40.13% QoQ

10.10% margin

Pre-tax income

$485M+56.45% QoQ

Net income

$389M+39.93% QoQ

6.08% margin

Cost of revenue

$5.1B+7.13% QoQ

Operating expenses

$691M−5.21% QoQ

SG&A $568M

R&D $42M

Other operating $81M

Other expense

$161M

Tax

$97M+203.13% QoQ

Revenue$6.4B+8.18%

Gross profit

$1.3B+12.35%

20.90% margin

Operating income

$646M+40.13%

10.10% margin

Pre-tax income

$485M+56.45%

Net income

$389M+39.93%

6.08% margin

Cost of revenue

$5.1B+7.13%

Operating expenses

$691M−5.21%

SG&A $568M

R&D $42M

Other operating $81M

Other expense

$161M

Tax$97M+203.13%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQDerived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 13:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.58· ±1.8% vs ±1.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.8%7 of 24×1.58

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%4 of 10×1.14

NFPjobs report±1.2%7 of 10×1.00

PPIproducer prices±1.1%6 of 10×0.96

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%10 of 19×0.87

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%10 of 19×0.87

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%7 of 12×0.85

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.84 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	Aug 12 '26 · confirmed	0.84	—
Q3 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	0.60	—
Q2 FY26	Feb 3 '26 · confirmed	0.38	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod