AMAT as of Oct 31 · 07:18 ET

AMATNasdaqSemiconductors & Related Devices

Applied Materials Inc · Brief

Next report

12 days

Nov 12 · after closeconfirmedQ4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±5.5%implied · report alone

368.49411.69

straddle ±9.2%

spot 390.09exp Nov 13ATM strike 390ATM straddle 42.10IV 69%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.5%
avg realized: ±6.5%

Nov 14 '24±4.7%▼−9.20%×1.96

Feb 13 '25±4.4%▼−8.18%×1.84

May 15 '25±4.6%▼−5.25%×1.14

Aug 14 '25±4.8%▼−14.07%×2.93

Nov 13 '25±5.1%▲+1.25%×0.25

Q1 FY26±6.8%▲+8.08%×1.18

Q2 FY26±6.9%▼−0.89%×0.13

Q3 FY26±6.3%▼−5.12%×0.81

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±6.3%▼−5.12%×0.81

Q2 FY26±6.9%▼−0.89%×0.13

Q1 FY26±6.8%▲+8.08%×1.18

Nov '25±5.1%▲+1.25%×0.25

Aug '25±4.8%▼−14.07%×2.93

May '25±4.6%▼−5.25%×1.14

2 older reports

Feb '25±4.4%▼−8.18%×1.84

Nov '24±4.7%▼−9.20%×1.96

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 12 report · confirmed

Bull2 of 4

+7.25%ten largest reporting managers increased shares held over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

14tracked funds holding AMATN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2 of 4

14.00%of Benchmark Electronics Inc's revenue from AMATSEC filings

4disclosed supplier and customer ties appearing in SEC filingsSEC filings

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

AMAT report session

Suppliers 4

ICHRIchor Holdings×1.15 UCTTUltra Clean Holdings×1.11 BHEBenchmark Electronics×0.51 NPOEnpro×0.43

× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 29impliedImplied move: ±8.7% into Nov 12 earnings (Oct 29 close).Source

Oct 22report dateEarnings date confirmed: Nov 12, after close.Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.