How often does Alerus Financial move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ALRSNasdaqNational Commercial Banks

Alerus Financial Corp (ALRS) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

35.35

+0.52 · +1.49%

Regular session10:04 ET

Open35.35Volume121,605Mkt cap$855.4MP/E32.14EPS1.10Div yield2.50%

Day35.35 – 35.3550%52-wk20.10 – 34.73100%

ALRS

Alerus Financial Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 27

after close · in 83 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.36%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.52%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

161 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

ALRS weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Alerus Financial (ALRS) is expected to report on Jan 27 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.8%
avg realized: ±4.7%

Jan 28 '25Jan 28 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+3.82%×0.63

Apr 28 '25Apr 28 '25confirmed±17.0%▲+13.29%×0.78

Jul 28 '25Jul 28 '25confirmed±14.9%▲+6.22%×0.42

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±21.4%▼−0.42%×0.02

Jan 28 '26Jan 28 '26confirmed±17.1%▲+2.35%×0.14

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±12.1%▲+4.62%×0.38

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±8.3%▲+1.85%×0.22

Oct 28 '26Oct 28 '26confirmed—▲+2.36%—

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Oct '26—▲+2.36%—

Q2 FY26±8.3%▲+1.85%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Nov 4 close

0.00OI · 1 expiry · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

20%Nov 2015d537+197%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d20%537+197%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

25.87%as filednet margin · revenue +6.47% QoQ · +7.84% YoY

Revenue$81M+6.47%

Pre-tax income$27M−9.82%

Net income$21M25.87%−9.17%

Tax$6M−11.88%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.68· ±2.2% vs ±1.3% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.2%11 of 24×1.68

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%12 of 19×0.97

PPIproducer prices±1.2%7 of 10×0.95

NFPjobs report±1.2%4 of 10×0.90

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%10 of 19×0.81

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%8 of 12×0.68

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%5 of 10×0.48

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.81 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.81	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	0.89	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod