High 21.59 at 3:45 pm ET, low 21.38 at 11:00 am ET.
Positioning
2 expiries · as of the Sep 19 close
Contracts already committed, not just traded today. Puts against calls, sized by expiry.
5
▲ 67%
Oct 16
27d
▲ 5%
82
10
▼ 33%
Jan 15
118d
0%
43
putscalls
Event sensitivity
release-day history · not a forecast
FOMCrate decision1.1×up 1 of 7±1.9% vs ±1.8% · 7
PPIproducer prices0.9×up 4 of 9±1.5% vs ±1.8% · 9
CPIconsumer prices0.9×up 2 of 9±1.5% vs ±1.8% · 9
PCEpersonal income & outlays0.8×up 7 of 9±1.5% vs ±1.8% · 9
GDPgross domestic product0.8×up 7 of 9±1.4% vs ±1.8% · 9
NFPjobs report0.6×up 5 of 9±1.1% vs ±1.8% · 9
CPROFcorporate profits0.5×up 4 of 6±0.9% vs ±1.8% · 6
Past release days against ALH’s ordinary ±1.8% day, from our own stored closes. History, not a forecast; kinds with fewer than six releases are omitted.
Earnings history
implied in pale · realized in full ink
0/2reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±6.2% realized vs ±13.9% priced
Q2 FY26—
▼ −0.58%—
May 12 '26±9.4%
▼ −0.59%×0.06
Mar 12 '26±18.4%
▼ −11.76%×0.64
Q3 FY25—
▼ −4.91%—
3-quarter memory
Revenue flow
Q2 FY2026 as filed · change vs Q1 FY2026
ALH kept 14.40% of Q2 FY2026 revenue as profit. Revenue +11.68% on Q1 FY2026, +6.61% on Q2 FY2025.
Revenue
$477M▲ +11.68% q/q
Gross profit
$190M▲ +20.81% q/q
39.83% margin
Cost of revenue
$287M▲ +6.36% q/q
Operating income
$106M▲ +26.06% q/q
22.16% margin
Operating expenses
$84M▲ +14.81% q/q
SG&A $84M
Pre-tax income
$88M▲ +21.34% q/q
Net income
$69M▲ +20.65% q/q
14.40% margin
Tax
$19M▲ +23.86% q/q
Other expense
$18M
Revenue$477M
Gross profit$190M39.83%
Operating income$106M22.16%
Pre-tax income$88M
Net income$69M14.40%
Cost of revenue
$287M · 60.17%
Operating expenses
$84M · 17.67%
Tax
$19M · 4.02%
Other expense leaves
$18M · 3.74%
Standardized lines from ALH’s own filing for the quarter ended Jun 30 '26. Ribbon thickness is the dollar amount.