ALGT as of Oct 31 · 11:29 ET

ALGTNasdaqAir Transportation, Scheduled

Allegiant Travel Co · Brief

Next report

3 days

Nov 3 · after closeest.Q3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±8.5%implied · report alone

65.2877.40

straddle ±12.5%

spot 71.34exp Nov 20ATM strike 70ATM straddle 10.50IV 77%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.8%
avg realized: ±6.3%

Oct 30 '24±12.7%▲+3.26%×0.26

Feb 4 '25±8.0%▼−15.32%×1.91

May 6 '25±9.7%▲+3.66%×0.38

Aug 4 '25±9.8%▲+0.58%×0.06

Q3 FY25±11.0%▲+25.06%×2.28

Feb 4 '26±10.5%▼−0.44%×0.04

Q1 FY26±11.6%▼−0.82%×0.07

Q2 FY26±12.6%▼−1.05%×0.08

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY26±12.6%▼−1.05%×0.08

Q1 FY26±11.6%▼−0.82%×0.07

Feb '26±10.5%▼−0.44%×0.04

Q3 FY25±11.0%▲+25.06%×2.28

Aug '25±9.8%▲+0.58%×0.06

May '25±9.7%▲+3.66%×0.38

2 older reports

Feb '25±8.0%▼−15.32%×1.91

Oct '24±12.7%▲+3.26%×0.26

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

6 of 8recent reports where the move landed below the options implied rangeEarnings history

303managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 4

0.09%of iShares Russell 2000 ETF's assets, the largest tracked-fund weightN-PORT · Jun 30 '26

3tracked funds holding ALGTN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

ALGT report session

Suppliers 1

BABoeing×0.21

Customers 1

BACBank of America×0.17

× = co-movement · max 499dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 238-KMaterial agreement: supplemental agreements with The Boeing Company.Source

Oct 20impliedImplied move: ±13.3% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 20 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.