How often does Airship AI move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AISPNasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.80

+0.06 · +3.32%

post 1.77 −1.55%

After hours16:27 ETdelayed

Open1.80Volume655,346Mkt cap$59.9MP/E1.99EPS0.89

Day1.77 – 1.830%52-wk1.69 – 4.423%

AISP

Airship AI Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 16

after close · in 102 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.95%

vs ±40.2% implied · ×0.15

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 5 '26 · confirmedthin chain

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

−21.19%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

79 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

AISP weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Airship AI (AISP) is expected to report on Feb 16 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±20.5%
avg realized: ±6.5%

May 15 '24May 15 '24confirmed±22.6%▼−11.44%×0.51

Aug 14 '24Aug 14 '24confirmed—▲+13.49%—

May 15 '25May 15 '25confirmed±5.4%▲+11.87%×2.21

Q3 FY25Nov 17 '25confirmed±14.9%▼−11.08%×0.74

Feb 17 '26Feb 17 '26confirmed±24.0%▼−0.41%×0.02

Q1 FY26May 11 '26confirmed±22.6%▼−4.31%×0.19

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±14.0%▲+0.52%×0.04

Nov 5 '26Nov 5 '26confirmed±40.2%thin chain▼−5.95%×0.15

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Nov '26±40.2%▼−5.95%×0.15

Q2 FY26±14.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.02OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

227−4%Nov 2014d0.663440%0.66

4530%Jan 1570d0.0412,7690%0.04

report · Feb 16 · after close · est.

320%Apr 16161d1,3040%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2014d227−4%3440%0.66

Jan 1570d4530%12,7690%0.04

report · Feb 16 · after close · est.

Apr 16161d320%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

154.30%as filednet margin · revenue +51.10% QoQ · +429.20% YoY

Revenue$6M+51.10%

Gross profit$4M56.22%+13.08%

Operating income−$560,653−9.00%+62.39%

Pre-tax income$10M+499.51%

Net income$10M154.30%+499.51%

Cost of revenue$3M+165.89%

Operating expenses$4M−11.44%

Tax$0—

Other income$10M+1210.95%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×0.95· ±5.2% vs ±5.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±5.2%3 of 10×0.95

CPROFcorporate profits±4.6%6 of 12×0.84

FOMCrate decision±4.4%8 of 24×0.81

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.9%7 of 20×0.72

GDPgross domestic product±3.7%11 of 20×0.67

PPIproducer prices±3.5%4 of 11×0.64

CPIconsumer prices±2.2%5 of 11×0.40

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±5.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±5.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.25 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	0.25	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.07	—
Q1 FY26	May 11 '26 · confirmed	-0.02	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 17 '25 · confirmed	0.15	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod