What move does the options market price into Airship AI's report?

Implied ±40.3%, either direction.

How often does Airship AI move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 6 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AISPNasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.88

−0.17 · −8.52%

post 1.88 +0.01%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open2.02Volume668,007Mkt cap$70.6MP/E2.32EPS0.81

Day1.87 – 2.092%52-wk1.69 – 4.427%

AISP

Airship AI Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±40.3%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±7.9%·×5.08·rich

1.002.35

straddle ±46.9%

spot 1.67exp Nov 20ATM strike 1.5ATM straddle 0.92IV 299%

Nov 4 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 16

before open · in 12 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.52%

vs ±14.0% implied · ×0.04

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

−21.19%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

79 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

AISP weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Airship AI (AISP) is expected to report on Nov 16 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 6≥ implied

avg implied: ±17.2%
avg realized: ±6.6%

Apr 1 '24Apr 1 '24confirmed—▲+10.37%—

May 15 '24May 15 '24confirmed±22.6%▼−11.44%×0.51

Aug 14 '24Aug 14 '24confirmed—▲+13.49%—

May 15 '25May 15 '25confirmed±5.4%▲+11.87%×2.21

Q3 FY25Nov 17 '25confirmed±14.9%▼−11.08%×0.74

Feb 17 '26Feb 17 '26confirmed±24.0%▼−0.41%×0.02

Q1 FY26May 11 '26confirmed±22.6%▼−4.31%×0.19

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±14.0%▲+0.52%×0.04

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±14.0%▲+0.52%×0.04

Q1 FY26±22.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.69OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

237+9%Nov 2016d344−2%

453−2%Jan 1572d0.0412,7680%0.04

32+3%Apr 16163d0.021,3040%0.02

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d237+9%344−2%0.69

Jan 1572d453−2%12,7680%0.04

Apr 16163d32+3%1,3040%0.02

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±46.9%

Funds 2

VTI±0.0%

IWM±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−58.36%as filednet margin · revenue −35.09% QoQ · +92.08% YoY

Revenue$4M−35.09%

Gross profit$3M75.12%−2.15%

Operating income−$1M−36.15%+5.75%

Pre-tax income−$2M−233.96%

Net income−$2M−58.36%−233.96%

Cost of revenue$1M−67.81%

Operating expenses$5M−3.35%

Tax$0—

Other expense−$915,901−206.38%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×0.95· ±5.2% vs ±5.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±5.2%3 of 10×0.95

FOMCrate decision±4.6%8 of 23×0.84

CPROFcorporate profits±4.6%6 of 12×0.84

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.1%7 of 19×0.75

GDPgross domestic product±3.8%11 of 19×0.70

PPIproducer prices±3.8%3 of 10×0.69

CPIconsumer prices±1.8%5 of 10×0.33

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±5.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±5.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.07 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.07	—
Q1 FY26	May 11 '26 · confirmed	-0.02	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 17 '25 · confirmed	0.15	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod