How often does Advantage Solutions move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 6 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ADVNasdaqServices-Business Services, NEC

Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

37.74

+8.59 · +29.48%

post 38.88 +3.01%

After hours16:59 ETdelayed

Open31.39Volume101,251Mkt cap$373.8MEPS-19.85

Day31.39 – 38.88100%52-wk12.23 – 47.4576%

ADV

Advantage Solutions Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 2

before open · in 118 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

before open

confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+8.65%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

Top fund weight

0.01%

ADV weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Advantage Solutions (ADV) is expected to report on Mar 2 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 6≥ implied

avg implied: ±53.6%
avg realized: ±16.1%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±65.6%▲+11.34%×0.17

Mar 7 '25Mar 7 '25confirmed±12.1%▼−8.90%×0.73

May 12 '25May 12 '25confirmed±64.5%▼−18.03%×0.28

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±72.9%▲+22.39%×0.31

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed—▼−2.44%—

Q1 FY26Mar 3 '26confirmed—▼−0.56%—

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±54.8%▲+15.30%×0.28

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±51.9%▼−20.85%×0.40

quarterimplied−75%0+75%realized×

Q2 FY26±51.9%▼−20.85%×0.40

May '26±54.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Aug 31 close

—OI · 1 expiry · Aug 31 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

0—Nov 2016d0—

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d0—0——

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−2.75%as filednet margin · revenue +2.73% QoQ · −0.14% YoY

Revenue$914M+2.73%

Gross profit$129M14.13%+22.26%

Operating income$8M0.82%+345.51%

Pre-tax income−$31M+23.04%

Net income−$25M−2.75%+59.98%

Cost of revenue$785M+0.10%

Operating expenses$122M+16.99%

Tax−$6M−129.15%

Other expense−$39M+8.40%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.38· ±4.9% vs ±3.6% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.9%5 of 10×1.38

CPIconsumer prices±4.3%6 of 10×1.21

PPIproducer prices±4.0%6 of 10×1.13

CPROFcorporate profits±4.0%5 of 12×1.11

FOMCrate decision±3.5%12 of 24×0.99

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.4%6 of 19×0.95

GDPgross domestic product±2.8%8 of 19×0.78

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±3.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -1.96 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	-1.96	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	-4.85	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 3 '26 · confirmed	-5.49	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	—

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod