ADP as of Nov 3 · 18:05 ET

ADPNasdaqServices-Computer Processing & Data Preparation

Automatic Data Processing Inc · Brief

Next report

85 days

Jan 27 · before openest.Q2 FY27

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±10.5%implied · straddle

264.98327.04

spot 296.01exp Feb 19ATM strike 300ATM straddle 36.50IV 28%

Nov 3 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±3.7%
avg realized: ±3.2%

Jan 29 '25±3.5%▲+0.76%×0.22

Apr 30 '25±3.4%▲+1.63%×0.48

Jul 30 '25±3.0%▲+0.75%×0.25

Oct 29 '25±3.2%▼−6.58%×2.06

Q2 FY26±4.0%▼−1.50%×0.37

Q3 FY26±3.8%▲+7.98%×2.08

Q4 FY26±4.9%▲+3.48%×0.71

Q1 FY27±3.8%▼−2.64%×0.69

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q1 FY27±3.8%▼−2.64%×0.69

Q4 FY26±4.9%▲+3.48%×0.71

Q3 FY26±3.8%▲+7.98%×2.08

Q2 FY26±4.0%▼−1.50%×0.37

Oct '25±3.2%▼−6.58%×2.06

Jul '25±3.0%▲+0.75%×0.25

2 older reports

Apr '25±3.4%▲+1.63%×0.48

Jan '25±3.5%▲+0.76%×0.22

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Jan 27 report · est.

Bull2 of 4

14tracked funds holding the companyN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

2,292managers reporting a position in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 4

8 of 24largest reporting managers cutting their stake in latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

6 of 8recent reports with moves under the options implied rangeEarnings history

AI captions · Nov 2 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

ADP report session

Suppliers 1

EIGEmployers Holdings×0.39

× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 14impliedImplied move: ±4.9% into Oct 28 earnings (Oct 14 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.