How often does ProFrac move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ACDCNasdaqOil & Gas Field Services, NEC

ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

2.85

−1.12 · −28.13%

Regular session13:03 ET

Open3.84Volume1.8MMkt cap$723.0MEPS-2.34

Day2.84 – 3.841%52-wk3.08 – 8.220%

ACDC

ProFrac Holding Corp.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 18

before open · in 133 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 5

before open

confirmedNov 4 close

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+29.29%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

144 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

ACDC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

ProFrac (ACDC) is expected to report on Mar 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±15.1%
avg realized: ±8.2%

Nov 5 '24Nov 5 '24confirmed±14.8%▲+7.69%×0.52

Mar 6 '25Mar 6 '25confirmed±16.0%▲+0.61%×0.04

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±15.3%▼−7.46%×0.49

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±15.1%▼−2.39%×0.16

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±17.5%▼−20.18%×1.15

Q1 FY26Mar 12 '26confirmed±12.7%▲+18.77%×1.48

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±12.2%▼−7.71%×0.63

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±17.0%▼−0.89%×0.05

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±17.0%▼−0.89%×0.05

May '26±12.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.13OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5730%Nov 2015d4,5290%

30%Dec 1843d0.01339+1%0.01

1380%Feb 19106d0.091,552+1%0.09

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d5730%4,5290%0.13

Dec 1843d30%339+1%0.01

Feb 19106d1380%1,552+1%0.09

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−15.00%as filednet margin · revenue +10.79% QoQ · −0.76% YoY

Revenue$498M+10.79%

Gross profit$110M22.08%+15.55%

Operating income−$38M−7.61%+18.32%

Pre-tax income−$71M+10.23%

Net income−$75M−15.00%+7.55%

Cost of revenue$388M+9.51%

Operating expenses$148M+4.45%

Tax$4M+125.00%

Other expense−$33M−1.22%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 13:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.34· ±4.9% vs ±3.7% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±4.9%7 of 24×1.34

GDPgross domestic product±4.5%11 of 19×1.21

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.4%7 of 19×1.20

NFPjobs report±4.2%5 of 10×1.14

CPROFcorporate profits±4.1%8 of 12×1.11

PPIproducer prices±3.7%3 of 10×1.01

CPIconsumer prices±2.8%8 of 10×0.77

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±3.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.45 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.45	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 12 '26 · confirmed	-0.47	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-0.60	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod