TLN as of Oct 31 · 20:29 ET

TLNNasdaqElectric Services

Talen Energy Corp · Brief

Next report

2 days

Nov 3 · after closeconfirmedQ3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±2.2%implied · report alone

335.48350.76

straddle ±6.9%

spot 343.12exp Nov 6ATM strike 342.5ATM straddle 28.05IV 74%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

—≥ implied

Nov 14 '24—▼−1.59%—

Feb 27 '25—▲+3.04%—

May 8 '25—▼−1.17%—

Aug 7 '25—▼−0.82%—

Q3 FY25—▼−4.35%—

Q1 FY26—▼−4.89%—

May 5 '26—▲+6.52%—

Q2 FY26±8.9%▲+2.57%×0.29

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±8.9%▲+2.57%×0.29

May '26—▲+6.52%—

Q1 FY26—▼−4.89%—

Q3 FY25—▼−4.35%—

Aug '25—▼−0.82%—

May '25—▼−1.17%—

2 older reports

Feb '25—▲+3.04%—

Nov '24—▼−1.59%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · confirmed

Bull2 of 3

7disclosed supplier and customer ties in SEC filingsSEC filings

4tracked funds holding TLNN-PORT · Jul 31 '26

Bear2

5 of 22of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

0.85%of First Trust Large Cap Growth AlphaDEX Fund's assets, largest tracked fund weightN-PORT · Jul 31 '26

AI captions · Oct 19 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

TLN report session

Suppliers 1

EOSEEos Energy Enterprises×0.55

Customers 1

AMZNAWS×0.17

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 20impliedImplied move: ±9.7% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 20 close).Source

Oct 13report dateEarnings date confirmed: Nov 3.Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.