Texas Capital Bancshares Inc · Brief

Next report

81 days

Jan 21 · before openest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

No implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

1 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.0%
avg realized: ±2.6%

Jan 23 '25±7.3%▼−4.48%×0.62

Apr 17 '25±3.9%▲+1.35%×0.34

Jul 17 '25±3.7%▲+4.46%×1.22

Oct 22 '25±7.8%▲+3.04%×0.39

Jan 22 '26±6.2%▼−0.04%×0.01

Q1 FY26±6.4%▲+1.01%×0.16

Q2 FY26±6.5%▼−4.12%×0.63

Q3 FY26—▲+5.66%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+5.66%—

Q2 FY26±6.5%▼−4.12%×0.63

Q1 FY26±6.4%▲+1.01%×0.16

Jan '26±6.2%▼−0.04%×0.01

Oct '25±7.8%▲+3.04%×0.39

Jul '25±3.7%▲+4.46%×1.22

2 older reports

Apr '25±3.9%▲+1.35%×0.34

Jan '25±7.3%▼−4.48%×0.62

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Jan 21 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

9disclosed supplier and customer tiesSEC filings

5tracked funds holding TCBIN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2

6 of 7recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history

7 of 23of the largest reporting managers cut their stake13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Oct 26 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

TCBI report session

Suppliers 1

NDAQThe Nasdaq Global Select Market×0.31

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 7impliedImplied move: ±7.5% into Oct 21 earnings (Oct 7 close).Source

Oct 7report dateEarnings date confirmed: Oct 21, after close.Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.