Old Second Bancorp Inc · Brief

Next report

81 days

Jan 20 · after closeest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

No implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.3%
avg realized: ±2.3%

Jan 22 '25±8.4%▼−2.41%×0.29

Apr 23 '25±18.6%▲+0.91%×0.05

Jul 23 '25±8.7%▼−4.41%×0.51

Q3 FY25±14.9%▼−0.50%×0.03

Jan 21 '26±16.1%▼−0.98%×0.06

Q1 FY26±18.2%▼−6.41%×0.35

Q2 FY26±8.0%▲+0.43%×0.05

Oct 21 '26—▼−0.64%—

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Oct '26—▼−0.64%—

Q2 FY26±8.0%▲+0.43%×0.05

Q1 FY26±18.2%▼−6.41%×0.35

Jan '26±16.1%▼−0.98%×0.06

Q3 FY25±14.9%▼−0.50%×0.03

Jul '25±8.7%▼−4.41%×0.51

2 older reports

Apr '25±18.6%▲+0.91%×0.05

Jan '25±8.4%▼−2.41%×0.29

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Jan 20 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

3tracked funds holding the companyN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

183managers reporting a position this quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

7 of 7recent reports where the move was below options implied rangeEarnings history

10 of 24largest reporting managers reduced their stake this quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Oct 26 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

OSBC report session

Suppliers 1

FRMEFirst Merchants Bank×0.89

× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 7impliedImplied move: ±7.8% into Oct 21 earnings (Oct 7 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.