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MUR as of Oct 31 · 22:06 ET
MURNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Murphy Oil Corp · Brief

Next report

3 days

Nov 4 · after closeest.Q3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
0 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±7.4%
avg realized
±3.7%
Jan 30 '25±5.9%▼−5.86%×1.00
May 7 '25±8.4%▲+1.81%×0.22
Aug 6 '25±5.9%▼−3.26%×0.55
Q3 FY25±7.5%▲+5.31%×0.70
Jan 6 '26±5.4%▼−2.03%×0.37
Jan 28 '26±9.2%▼−1.08%×0.12
Q1 FY26±7.4%▼−1.70%×0.23
Q2 FY26±9.5%▼−8.32%×0.88
quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×
Q2 FY26±9.5%▼−8.32%×0.88
Q1 FY26±7.4%▼−1.70%×0.23
Jan '26±9.2%▼−1.08%×0.12
Jan '26±5.4%▼−2.03%×0.37
Q3 FY25±7.5%▲+5.31%×0.70
Aug '25±5.9%▼−3.26%×0.55
2 older reports
May '25±8.4%▲+1.81%×0.22
Jan '25±5.9%▼−5.86%×1.00
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 4 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

+3.83%change in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
30managers whose positions together make up four fifths of the reported value13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

11 of 23of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
8 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options-implied rangeEarnings history
AI captions · Sep 16 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

MUR report session

Customers 3

PSXPhillips 66×0.42PBRPetrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro×0.36CVXChevron×0.36
× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±9.4% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.