MP Materials Corp. · Brief

Next report

5 days

Nov 5 · after closeest.Q3 FY26

Expected move

±3.3%implied · report alone

38.2740.87

straddle ±7.5%

spot 39.57exp Nov 6ATM strike 39.5ATM straddle 3.50IV 80%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26—▲+7.62%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+7.62%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Nov 5 report · est.

Bull2

764managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

3tracked funds holding the companyN-PORT · Jul 31 '26

Bear2

31.00%of revenue from the largest disclosed customer Customer CSEC filings

7 of 22of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Oct 26 '26once per report · top 2 per case

MP report session

No linked exposure.

Oct 22impliedImplied move: ±9.9% into Nov 5 earnings (Oct 22 close).Source

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.