Medallion Financial Corp · Brief

Next report

108 days

Feb 17 · after closeest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±21.9%implied · straddle

7.8912.31

spot 10.10exp Feb 19ATM strike 10ATM straddle 2.60IV 60%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.3%
avg realized: ±4.2%

Mar 4 '25±15.8%▲+7.22%×0.46

Apr 30 '25±15.3%▲+0.68%×0.04

Jul 30 '25±8.3%▲+1.09%×0.13

Oct 29 '25±11.9%▲+6.13%×0.52

Feb 18 '26±6.6%▼−1.98%×0.30

Q1 FY26±18.1%▼−1.08%×0.06

Q2 FY26±15.0%▲+1.71%×0.11

Oct 29 '26±15.5%▼−13.53%×0.87

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Oct '26±15.5%▼−13.53%×0.87

Q2 FY26±15.0%▲+1.71%×0.11

Q1 FY26±18.1%▼−1.08%×0.06

Feb '26±6.6%▼−1.98%×0.30

Oct '25±11.9%▲+6.13%×0.52

Jul '25±8.3%▲+1.09%×0.13

2 older reports

Apr '25±15.3%▲+0.68%×0.04

Mar '25±15.8%▲+7.22%×0.46

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Feb 17 report · est.

—

Linked exposure

MFIN report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 29impliedImplied move: ±15.5% into Oct 29 earnings (Oct 29 close).Source

Oct 198-KMaterial agreement: Purchase and Settlement Agreement with BIMIZCI Fund LLC.Source

Oct 14impliedImplied move: ±13.3% into Oct 28 earnings (Oct 14 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.