KBH as of Nov 3 · 18:06 ET
Expected move
Inputs2 of 8≥ implied
- avg implied
- ±7.6%
- avg realized
- ±5.1%
Jan 13 '25±6.2%▲+4.82%×0.77
Mar 24 '25±8.0%▼−5.21%×0.65
Jun 23 '25±8.8%▼−0.45%×0.05
Sep 24 '25±7.9%▼−0.63%×0.08
Dec 18 '25±4.3%▼−8.54%×2.00
Q1 FY26±8.6%▼−1.55%×0.18
Q2 FY26±8.9%▲+16.65%×1.86
Q3 FY26±8.2%▼−2.96%×0.36
quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×
Q3 FY26±8.2%▼−2.96%×0.36
Q2 FY26±8.9%▲+16.65%×1.86
Q1 FY26±8.6%▼−1.55%×0.18
Dec '25±4.3%▼−8.54%×2.00
Sep '25±7.9%▼−0.63%×0.08
Jun '25±8.8%▼−0.45%×0.05
2 older reports
Mar '25±8.0%▼−5.21%×0.65
Jan '25±6.2%▲+4.82%×0.77
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close
Bull & bear
Dec 17 report · est.Bull2
Bear2
AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case
Linked exposure
KBH report sessionSuppliers 2
× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data
No changes.
Your note
privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0
No thesis.