HCC as of Nov 2 · 02:08 ET

HCCNYSESilver Ores

Warrior MET Coal, Inc. · Brief

Next report

2 days

Nov 4 · after closeest.Q3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±6.1%implied · report alone

80.7391.21

straddle ±9.9%

spot 85.97exp Nov 20ATM strike 85ATM straddle 10.05IV 61%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.9%
avg realized: ±7.2%

Oct 30 '24±10.0%▲+2.19%×0.22

Feb 13 '25±5.0%▼−8.37%×1.66

Apr 30 '25±8.7%▼−5.04%×0.58

Aug 6 '25±7.6%▲+8.81%×1.16

Nov 5 '25±10.4%▲+23.07%×2.21

Feb 12 '26±9.4%▲+0.22%×0.02

Q1 FY26±9.4%▼−3.98%×0.42

Q2 FY26±10.6%▲+6.31%×0.60

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±10.6%▲+6.31%×0.60

Q1 FY26±9.4%▼−3.98%×0.42

Feb '26±9.4%▲+0.22%×0.02

Nov '25±10.4%▲+23.07%×2.21

Aug '25±7.6%▲+8.81%×1.16

Apr '25±8.7%▼−5.04%×0.58

2 older reports

Feb '25±5.0%▼−8.37%×1.66

Oct '24±10.0%▲+2.19%×0.22

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 4 report · est.

Bull1

344managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 3

27managers whose positions together make up four fifths of the reported value13F · Jun 30 '26

11 of 22of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

HCC report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±11.2% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.