VaramirStart free · no cardSign in
GEO as of Oct 31 · 12:22 ET
GEONYSEGeneral Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs

GEO Group Inc · Brief

Next report

5 days

Nov 5 · before openest.Q3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
5 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±8.0%
avg realized
±9.8%
Nov 13 '24±3.7%▲+2.47%×0.67
Feb 27 '25±8.4%▲+6.05%×0.72
May 7 '25±7.8%▼−10.04%×1.29
Aug 6 '25±9.1%▼−11.46%×1.26
Nov 6 '25±6.8%▼−8.33%×1.23
Feb 12 '26±9.2%▼−14.91%×1.62
Q1 FY26±8.6%▲+20.92%×2.44
Q2 FY26±10.6%▼−4.07%×0.38
quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×
Q2 FY26±10.6%▼−4.07%×0.38
Q1 FY26±8.6%▲+20.92%×2.44
Feb '26±9.2%▼−14.91%×1.62
Nov '25±6.8%▼−8.33%×1.23
Aug '25±9.1%▼−11.46%×1.26
May '25±7.8%▼−10.04%×1.29
2 older reports
Feb '25±8.4%▲+6.05%×0.72
Nov '24±3.7%▲+2.47%×0.67
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 5 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

291managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26
26managers whose positions together make up four fifths of the reported value13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 3

14 of 22of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
−0.44%change in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

GEO report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 22impliedImplied move: ±13.5% into Nov 5 earnings (Oct 22 close).Source
Oct 88-KMaterial agreement: 8-K Item 1.01.Source
Oct 58-KMaterial agreement: Purchase and Sale Agreement with the United States of America and its assigns, by and through the Department of…Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.