Expand Energy Corp · Brief

Next report

106 days

Feb 16 · after closeest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±4.1%implied · report alone

86.8794.23

straddle ±11.9%

spot 90.55exp Feb 19ATM strike 90ATM straddle 12.65IV 32%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.3%
avg realized: ±3.4%

Feb 26 '25±6.2%▼−4.56%×0.73

Apr 29 '25±5.0%▼−3.32%×0.66

Jul 29 '25±5.8%▲+4.87%×0.84

Oct 28 '25±7.4%▼−0.58%×0.08

Feb 17 '26±3.8%▼−3.14%×0.84

Q1 FY26±5.4%▲+4.16%×0.76

Q2 FY26—▲+4.45%—

Q3 FY26±3.5%▼−3.22%×0.91

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±3.5%▼−3.22%×0.91

Q2 FY26—▲+4.45%—

Q1 FY26±5.4%▲+4.16%×0.76

Feb '26±3.8%▼−3.14%×0.84

Oct '25±7.4%▼−0.58%×0.08

Jul '25±5.8%▲+4.87%×0.84

2 older reports

Apr '25±5.0%▼−3.32%×0.66

Feb '25±6.2%▼−4.56%×0.73

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Feb 16 report · est.

—

Linked exposure

EXE report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 13impliedImplied move: ±4.9% into Oct 27 earnings (Oct 13 close).Source

Oct 68-KMaterial agreement: Amendment No. 1 to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.