Capital One Financial Corp · Brief

Next report

79 days

Jan 21 · after closeest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

No implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.2%
avg realized: ±3.0%

Jan 21 '25±4.6%▲+4.00%×0.87

Apr 22 '25±5.4%▲+3.68%×0.68

Jul 22 '25±4.0%▲+0.94%×0.24

Oct 21 '25±4.6%▲+1.53%×0.33

Jan 22 '26±2.7%▼−7.56%×2.77

Q1 FY26±4.5%▼−1.52%×0.34

Q2 FY26±4.3%▼−2.36%×0.55

Oct 20 '26±3.5%▲+2.53%×0.71

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26±3.5%▲+2.53%×0.71

Q2 FY26±4.3%▼−2.36%×0.55

Q1 FY26±4.5%▼−1.52%×0.34

Jan '26±2.7%▼−7.56%×2.77

Oct '25±4.6%▲+1.53%×0.33

Jul '25±4.0%▲+0.94%×0.24

2 older reports

Apr '25±5.4%▲+3.68%×0.68

Jan '25±4.6%▲+4.00%×0.87

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Jan 21 report · est.

Bull2

10tracked funds holding the companyN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

2,137managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

9 of 24of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

1.64%largest tracked fund weight of State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF assetsN-PORT · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Oct 26 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

COF report session

Suppliers 1

GPGIGpgi×0.57

× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 6impliedImplied move: ±6.0% into Oct 20 earnings (Oct 6 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.