ARLO as of Oct 31 · 13:19 ET

ARLONYSEServices-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services

Arlo Technologies, Inc. · Brief

Next report

5 days

Nov 5 · after closeest.Q3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±14.0%implied · report alone

12.4416.50

straddle ±14.4%

spot 14.47exp Nov 20ATM strike 14ATM straddle 2.45IV 90%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±14.3%
avg realized: ±10.6%

Nov 7 '24±19.9%▼−1.97%×0.10

Feb 27 '25±17.4%▲+20.64%×1.19

May 8 '25±11.7%▲+16.82%×1.44

Aug 7 '25±11.8%▲+1.70%×0.14

Q3 FY25±14.4%▼−12.46%×0.87

Q1 FY26±14.3%▲+27.15%×1.90

May 7 '26±12.3%▲+2.35%×0.19

Q2 FY26±12.4%▼−1.55%×0.13

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY26±12.4%▼−1.55%×0.13

May '26±12.3%▲+2.35%×0.19

Q1 FY26±14.3%▲+27.15%×1.90

Q3 FY25±14.4%▼−12.46%×0.87

Aug '25±11.8%▲+1.70%×0.14

May '25±11.7%▲+16.82%×1.44

2 older reports

Feb '25±17.4%▲+20.64%×1.19

Nov '24±19.9%▼−1.97%×0.10

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 5 report · est.

Bull2 of 4

261managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

26disclosed supplier and customer ties in SEC filingsSEC filings

Bear2 of 3

32.00%of revenue from the largest disclosed customer Verisure SàrlSEC filings

4 of 24of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

ARLO report session

Customers 3

BBYBest Buy×0.22 AMZNAmazon×0.22 SNXSynnex×0.20

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 22impliedImplied move: ±20.7% into Nov 5 earnings (Oct 22 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.